Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsUEFAUEFA.comMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 30′Lincoln Red Imps FC, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- Half-time
- 49′Lincoln Red Imps FC, yellow card:Foul
- 58′HNK Hajduk Split, yellow card:Diving
- 61′Lincoln Red Imps FC, substitution:off
- 63′HNK Hajduk Split, yellow card:
- 68′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 69′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 75′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 79′Lincoln Red Imps FC, yellow card:Tripping
- 82′Lincoln Red Imps FC, substitution:off
- 82′Lincoln Red Imps FC, substitution:off
- 86′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 86′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 86′Lincoln Red Imps FC, substitution:off
- 86′Lincoln Red Imps FC, substitution:off
- 89′Lincoln Red Imps FC, own goal:1–0Own goal
- 90+5′HNK Hajduk Split, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 90+6′Lincoln Red Imps FC, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- Full-time1 – 0
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Lincoln Red Imps FC
HNK Hajduk Split
Match report
Lincoln Red Imps stun Hajduk Split with late own goal
Lincoln Red Imps FC won 1-0 against HNK Hajduk Split in a UEFA Europa Conference League league-stage matchday 3 fixture at Europa Point Stadium, the only goal arriving through an own goal by Dennis Hadžikadunić in the 89th minute. The two sides had gone into the interval goalless.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Hajduk dominated for long spells, holding 65 per cent of possession and having 15 shots to the hosts' five. Seven corners to none underlined their pressure, yet only one of those efforts hit the target and the home side's defence repeatedly held firm. Lincoln themselves failed to register a single shot on target.
The decisive moment came with the contest seemingly heading for a stalemate. Hadžikadunić turned the ball into his own net to make it 1-0, and Hajduk's run of six games unbeaten ended. Lincoln had lost four of their last five games, while Hajduk had won four of theirs.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Lincoln Red Imps FC a 12% chance of winning. Hajduk's next game is away to NK Osijek in the HNL on Sunday 8 November, while Lincoln travel to Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 26 November.
Jaylan Hankins earned a rating of 7.6 for Lincoln, level with Hajduk's Khalil Fayad, as the hosts defended resolutely against sustained pressure. Mandi also rated highly for the home side at 7.3.
Hajduk Split managed 15 shots to Lincoln's five but only one of them was on target.
Lincoln Red Imps FC beat HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Lincoln Red Imps FC met HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 3). Kick-off was Thursday, 5 November 2026, 17:45 UTC at Europa Sports Park. Referee: Patryk Gryckiewicz.
Team pages: Lincoln Red Imps FC · HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 89' Goal (own goal): Dennis Hadžikadunić — 1–0 · Watch Dennis Hadžikadunić's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Lincoln Red Imps FC (5-3-2)
- 13 Jaylan Hankins
- 21 Nano
- 3 Christian Rutjens
- 6 Bernardo Lopes (c)
- 5 Gabri Garcia
- 66 Julliani Eersteling
- 8 Mandi
- 22 Graeme Torrilla
- 18 Toni García
- 9 Enrique Gómez Bernal
- 44 M. Toledano
HNK Hajduk Split (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lincoln Red Imps FC 12%, the draw 20%, HNK Hajduk Split 68%. It finished Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–0 HNK Hajduk Split.
Hajduk Split's big strength edge drives the forecast — We give HNK Hajduk Split 68% mainly because our strength rating puts them 439 points higher, 1633 to 1195, which outweighs the usual home advantage Lincoln Red Imps FC start with. The draw sits at 20%, close to the usual 19% for a gap this size, nudged up slightly because both sides' own recent games average a typical 2.5 goals.
Why HNK Hajduk Split at 68%?
HNK Hajduk Split sit 439 points higher on our strength rating — 1633 to 1195. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,321 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 12–19–69.
Why only 68%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Lincoln Red Imps FC at 12%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,389.
What did we measure but not count?
HNK Hajduk Split have averaged 14 percentage points more possession than Lincoln Red Imps FC in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. HNK Hajduk Split's last five: W-W-W-D-W — the hotter side across the games we track, and unbeaten in their last 6 on 90-minute results, all competitions (5 wins, 1 draw), a run going back to October 2026. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.0% of 2059 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3979 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–0 HNK Hajduk Split. Explore more on the Lincoln Red Imps FC and HNK Hajduk Split team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.