SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 — DFB Pokal: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 4′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 6′SV Darmstadt 98, goal:0–1
- Half-time0 – 1
- 53′SV Darmstadt 98, yellow card:Foul
- 56′SV Darmstadt 98, goal:0–2assist
- 64′SV Elversberg, substitution:off
- 64′SV Elversberg, substitution:off
- 64′SV Elversberg, substitution:off
- 72′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 72′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 72′SV Darmstadt 98, yellow card:Time wasting
- 77′SV Elversberg, substitution:off
- 83′SV Elversberg, substitution:off
- 88′SV Darmstadt 98, substitution:off
- 90+3′SV Elversberg, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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SV Elversberg
SV Darmstadt 98
Match report
SV Darmstadt 98 stun SV Elversberg with 2-0 win in DFB Pokal
SV Darmstadt 98 won 2-0 at SV Elversberg in the DFB Pokal Round of 32 at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, taking their place in the next round despite being second best on possession and shots. Lars Kehl struck after only six minutes to put the visitors ahead, and the lead held through the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
SV Elversberg dominated the ball for long spells, finishing with 74 per cent possession, 26 shots to 7 and 18 corners to 2, but could not find a way past Marcel Schuhen. Their best attempts were repeatedly turned away or went astray, and the half-time score remained 0-1.
Darmstadt sealed the tie in the 56th minute. Lance Duijvestijn supplied the pass and Milan Smit finished to make it 0-2, leaving the hosts needing two goals with little time to find them. The pressure continued, yet the visitors defended resolutely and the scoreline did not change.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given SV Darmstadt 98 a 14% chance of winning. Darmstadt return to league action at home to 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday, while Elversberg host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Friday.
Marcel Schuhen earned the highest rating of the match, 7.93, for a goalkeeping display that kept a clean sheet against 26 shots. Lars Kehl, rated 7.92, scored the opening goal.
SV Elversberg won the corner count 18 to 2 but left without a goal.
SV Darmstadt 98 won 2–0 away against SV Elversberg (half-time 0–1).
SV Elversberg met SV Darmstadt 98 in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32). Kick-off was Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde. Referee: Daniel Schlager.
Team pages: SV Elversberg · SV Darmstadt 98 · DFB Pokal
Key moments
- 6' Goal: Lars Kehl — 0–1 · Watch Lars Kehl's goal video (6')
- 56' Goal: Milan Smit (assist: Lance Duijvestijn) — 0–2 · Watch Milan Smit's goal video (56')
Starting line-ups
SV Elversberg (4-2-3-1)
SV Darmstadt 98 (3-1-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave SV Elversberg 68%, the draw 18%, SV Darmstadt 98 14%. It finished SV Elversberg 0–2 SV Darmstadt 98.
Strength rating puts SV Elversberg clearly ahead — We give SV Elversberg 68% mainly because they sit 164 points higher on our strength rating, 1548 to 1384, and they also get the usual home advantage. The draw starts near 20%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 18% because both sides' own recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why SV Elversberg at 68%?
SV Elversberg sit 164 points higher on our strength rating — 1548 to 1384. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,062 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 63–21–16.
Why only 68%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 18% and SV Darmstadt 98 at 14%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,446. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SV Elversberg have averaged 5 percentage points more possession than SV Darmstadt 98 in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. SV Elversberg scored +0.53 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,178 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.0% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this DFB Pokal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Lars Kehl's goal against SV Elversberg (6').
- Watch Milan Smit's goal against SV Elversberg (56').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from SV Elversberg 0–2 SV Darmstadt 98. Explore more on the SV Elversberg and SV Darmstadt 98 team pages or the DFB Pokal page.