Armenia vs 28.09.26 16:002 – 3Full Time
Montenegro — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Late Latković strike gives Montenegro win over Armenia in five-goal thriller
Montenegro came from behind to beat Armenia 2-3 in a UEFA Nations League League C - 2 fixture at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, a five-goal thriller settled by a late strike. The result kept Montenegro top of League C · Group 2, while Armenia remained second after the loss.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Armenia went ahead in the 20th minute when Erik Piloyan turned the ball into his own net, but Montenegro could not hold that lead for long. Artur Serobyan levelled for Armenia in the 34th minute with an assist from Ognjen Čančarević, only for Nikola Krstović to restore Montenegro's advantage four minutes later, set up by Andrej Đurić, sending the sides in at the break with the visitors 1-2 ahead.
Eduard Spertsyan drew Armenia level again in the 65th minute, finishing an assist from Georgi Harutyunyan to make it 2-2 and set up a tense finish. Montenegro had the final word in the 89th minute when Aleksa Latković converted a chance created by Risto Radunović, completing the turnaround and sealing a 2-3 win on the road.
Nikola Krstović scored Montenegro's second goal of the night and finished as the highest-rated player on the pitch with a 7.84 mark.
Armenia had more of the ball, holding 54% possession to Montenegro's 46%, yet still finished on the losing side.
Montenegro won 3–2 away against Armenia (half-time 1–2).
Armenia met Montenegro in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 2). Kick-off was Monday, 28 September 2026, 16:00 UTC at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero.
Team pages: Armenia · Montenegro · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 20' Goal (own goal): Erik Piloyan — 0–1 · Watch Erik Piloyan's goal video (20')
- 34' Goal: Artur Serobyan (assist: Ognjen Čančarević) — 1–1 · Watch Artur Serobyan's goal video (34')
- 38' Goal: Nikola Krstović (assist: Andrej Đurić) — 1–2 · Watch Nikola Krstović's goal video (38')
- 65' Goal: Eduard Spertsyan (assist: Georgi Harutyunyan) — 2–2 · Watch Eduard Spertsyan's goal video (65')
- 89' Goal: Aleksa Latković (assist: Risto Radunović) — 2–3 · Watch Aleksa Latković's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Armenia (5-4-1)
- 1 Ognjen Čančarević
- 21 Nayair Tiknizyan
- 4 Georgi Harutyunyan
- 5 Argishti Petrosyan
- 3 Erik Piloyan
- 2 Artem Bandikyan
- 11 Zhirayr Shaghoyan
- 10 Eduard Spertsyan (c)
- 6 Ugochukwu Iwu
- 9 Artur Serobyan
- 18 Artur Miranyan
Montenegro (4-1-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Armenia 40%, the draw 26%, Montenegro 34%. It finished Armenia 2–3 Montenegro.
Level sides, home ground holds off Montenegro's control of the ball — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Armenia's 40% is home ground and little else. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Armenia in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1465 to 1490. Sides this close won 42.8% of 14,753 home games (draw 26.9%, visitors 30.3%).
Why only 40%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Montenegro hold 11 more possession points (53 to 42 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.0% across 5,455 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.0% of 16,960. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Armenia (7 fully-tracked matches with us) and Montenegro (9) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Armenia vs Montenegro final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Erik Piloyan's own goal video (20').
- Watch Artur Serobyan's goal against Montenegro (34').
- Watch Nikola Krstović's goal against Armenia (38').
- Watch Eduard Spertsyan's goal against Montenegro (65').
- Watch Aleksa Latković's goal against Armenia (89').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Armenia 2–3 Montenegro. Explore more on the Armenia and Montenegro team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.