Northern Ireland vs 28.09.26 18:450 – 0Full Time
Hungary — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Northern Ireland and Hungary play out goalless draw at Windsor Park
Northern Ireland and Hungary shared a goalless draw in a UEFA Nations League League B fixture at Windsor Park, with neither side able to find a breakthrough across the ninety minutes. The result kept Northern Ireland top of Group 2 on four points after two matches, while Hungary sit third with a single point.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Hungary held the greater share of possession, controlling 64 percent of the ball, and had the better of the chances territorially with 13 shots to Northern Ireland's 10. Despite that dominance, Northern Ireland were sharper in front of goal, forcing three shots on target compared to Hungary's one, though neither goalkeeper was seriously tested enough to concede.
The contest was scrappy at times, with 15 fouls committed by each side and Northern Ireland picking up four yellow cards to Hungary's two. No red cards were shown, and the match ended without either manager, M. O'Neill or M. Rossi, seeing a breakthrough for their side.
Alex Tóth was Hungary's top-rated performer with a 7.2 mark, though he did not register a goal or assist in the stalemate.
Hungary's 64 percent possession share reflected their control of the ball without translating it into a decisive edge on the scoreboard.
Northern Ireland and Hungary drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Northern Ireland met Hungary in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 2). Kick-off was Monday, 28 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Puskás Aréna. Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea.
Team pages: Northern Ireland · Hungary · UEFA Nations League
Starting line-ups
Northern Ireland (3-4-2-1)
Hungary (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Northern Ireland 21%, the draw 27%, Hungary 52%. It finished Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary.
Hungary's rating gap, but the draw is in play — Hungary are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Hungary's 52%. The draw at 27% is up from the usual 25.4% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Hungary at 52%?
Hungary sit 206 points higher on our strength rating — 1566 to 1771. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.8% of 6,686 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–26–53.
Why only 52%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 52% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Northern Ireland at 21%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Northern Ireland win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 28,106. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Hungary have averaged 8 percentage points more possession than Northern Ireland in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Hungary have shed 62 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,527 such games vs 33.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Northern Ireland vs Hungary final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary. Explore more on the Northern Ireland and Hungary team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.