Bournemouth vs Aston Villa — League Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsEFLYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 7′Bournemouth, goal:1–0assist
- 12′Aston Villa, yellow card:Foul
- 16′Bournemouth, yellow card:Dissent
- 25′Bournemouth, yellow card:Foul
- 33′Aston Villa, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 46′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 51′Bournemouth, goal:2–0assist
- 54′Aston Villa, yellow card:Foul
- 58′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 58′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 63′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 63′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 67′Bournemouth, yellow card:Foul
- 69′Bournemouth, goal:3–0assist
- 70′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 70′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 75′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 80′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Match report
Bournemouth beat Aston Villa 3-0 to reach League Cup quarter-finals
Bournemouth beat Aston Villa 3-0 at the Vitality Stadium in the League Cup Round of 16, with all three goals coming from players supplied by team-mates and the home side leading from the seventh minute. The result stretched Bournemouth's winning run to five games and ended Villa's run of seven games unbeaten.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Amine Adli opened the scoring in the seventh minute, finishing after Julio Soler's pass, and Bournemouth held that lead at the interval. Lewis Cook doubled the advantage in the 51st minute from Ben Doak's assist, and Álvaro Rodríguez made it 3-0 in the 69th minute with Tyler Adams providing the final pass.
The contest was closer than the scoreline suggested. Villa had slightly more of the ball, 51 per cent to Bournemouth's 49, and managed 17 shots to the hosts' 19, but only five of them were on target compared with seven for Bournemouth. Both sides were shown three yellow cards and nobody was sent off.
Bournemouth, managed by Marco Rose, next host Leeds in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October. Unai Emery's Villa are also at home that day, against Fulham.
Lewis Cook scored Bournemouth's second goal and was the top-rated performer on 8.14. Goalkeeper Michele Di Gregorio, rated 8.03, helped keep the clean sheet.
Bournemouth won the corner count 6 to 2 despite having slightly less of the possession.
Bournemouth beat Aston Villa 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Bournemouth met Aston Villa in the League Cup (Round of 16). Kick-off was Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Vitality Stadium. Referee: Tony Harrington.
Team pages: Bournemouth · Aston Villa · League Cup
Key moments
- 7' Goal: Amine Adli (assist: Julio Soler) — 1–0 · Watch Amine Adli's goal video (7')
- 51' Goal: Lewis Cook (assist: Ben Doak) — 2–0 · Watch Lewis Cook's goal video (51')
- 69' Goal: Álvaro Rodríguez (assist: Tyler Adams) — 3–0 · Watch Álvaro Rodríguez's goal video (69')
Starting line-ups
Bournemouth (4-1-4-1)
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bournemouth 42%, the draw 24%, Aston Villa 34%. It finished Bournemouth 3–0 Aston Villa.
Home advantage edges Bournemouth past a stronger Villa — Aston Villa sit 44 points higher on our strength rating, but Bournemouth's home advantage and Villa's recent scoring above their chances, a hot streak of the kind that tends to cool, give Bournemouth a slight lean at 42%. The draw starts at 29% for a gap this size, then drops to 24% because both sides' recent games average 3.4 goals and because of that finishing streak.
Why Bournemouth at 42%?
Home ground, against the rating. Aston Villa sit 44 points higher on our strength rating — 1897 to 1852. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,104 such games. Aston Villa scored +0.35 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.5% of 1,642 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 42%?
Because Aston Villa are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 24% and Aston Villa at 34%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,464. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Aston Villa won 3 of the last 6 meetings with Bournemouth. The record is 3 wins for Aston Villa, 3 draws and 0 wins for Bournemouth. These were 6 Premier League games played at both grounds between 3 December 2023 and 7 February 2026. Aston Villa are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings between the sides (4 wins, 3 draws), a run going back to March 2023. Latest meeting: 7 February 2026 — Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa. In 6,087 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bournemouth vs Aston Villa final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this League Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Amine Adli's goal against Aston Villa (7').
- Watch Lewis Cook's goal against Aston Villa (51').
- Watch Álvaro Rodríguez's goal against Aston Villa (69').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bournemouth 3–0 Aston Villa. Explore more on the Bournemouth and Aston Villa team pages or the League Cup page.