Fulham vs Crystal Palace — League Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsCrystal Palace FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 19′Fulham, yellow card:Foul
- 37′Crystal Palace, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 50′Crystal Palace, yellow card:Foul
- 58′Fulham, substitution:off
- 58′Fulham, substitution:off
- 58′Fulham, substitution:off
- 61′Crystal Palace, substitution:off
- 61′Crystal Palace, substitution:off
- 63′Crystal Palace, yellow card:Foul
- 71′Crystal Palace, substitution:off
- 72′Fulham, substitution:off
- 77′Crystal Palace, substitution:off
- 77′Crystal Palace, substitution:off
- 82′Fulham, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 1
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Assist
Videos
Player Ratings
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Match report
Crystal Palace edge Fulham 1-0 at Craven Cottage in League Cup
Crystal Palace won 1-0 at Fulham in the League Cup round of 16 on Wednesday evening, a single first-half goal from Eddie Nketiah deciding a tie in which the hosts dominated the ball but could not find a way past the visitors' defence.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Nketiah struck in the 37th minute, converting after Óscar Mingueza supplied the assist, and the scoreline did not change before or after the interval. Fulham held 74% of possession and had 14 shots to 4, forcing nine corners to none, yet only four of those efforts were on target against Palace's three.
The result ended a run of four games without a win for Palace, who had lost three of their previous five. Fulham, by contrast, went into the evening with three wins from their last five and had won at Coventry in their previous outing.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Crystal Palace a 24% chance of winning. Both sides return to Premier League action on Saturday 31 October, Fulham away to Aston Villa and Palace away to Tottenham.
Eddie Nketiah scored the only goal of the night and was rated 7.41, while Dean Henderson earned the highest rating of the visitors' players, 7.56, as Palace protected their lead.
Fulham took 14 shots to Palace's 4 but could not turn that territorial control into a goal.
Crystal Palace won 1–0 away against Fulham (half-time 0–1).
Fulham met Crystal Palace in the League Cup (Round of 16). Kick-off was Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Craven Cottage. Referee: Simon Hooper.
Team pages: Fulham · Crystal Palace · League Cup
Key moments
- 37' Goal: Eddie Nketiah (assist: Óscar Mingueza) — 0–1 · Watch Eddie Nketiah's goal video (37')
Starting line-ups
Fulham (4-2-3-1)
Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fulham 52%, the draw 24%, Crystal Palace 24%. It finished Fulham 0–1 Crystal Palace.
Fulham's control of the ball gives them the edge — Our strength rating has almost nothing between the sides, 1729 to 1717, so Fulham's edge comes mainly from their possession, 60 to 46 in recent games, on top of the usual home advantage. We give the draw 24%, down from a starting point of 27, because both teams' own recent games average 3.2 goals and Fulham's control lowers it slightly.
Why Fulham in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1729 to 1717. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,542 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%). Fulham hold 14 more possession points (60 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,604 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 52%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 24% and Crystal Palace at 24%.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,464. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Fulham sit -0.47 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last 9 visits to Fulham: 6 wins and 3 draws, across 8 Premier League games and 1 FA Cup game. No earlier defeat in this fixture appears in our recorded visits. Latest visit: 5 September 2026 — Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace. Across 2,298 historical matches involving visitors unbeaten in at least five consecutive visits, those visitors won 47.3%, compared with 45.2% expected from the teams' strength ratings. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Fulham vs Crystal Palace final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this League Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fulham 0–1 Crystal Palace. Explore more on the Fulham and Crystal Palace team pages or the League Cup page.