Alpendorada vs Casa Pia — Taça de Portugal: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 46′Alpendorada, substitution:J. SantosoffDanny
- 46′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 46′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 58′Alpendorada, substitution:
- 61′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 61′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 62′Casa Pia, yellow card:
- 69′Casa Pia, yellow card:
- 72′Casa Pia, goal:0–1
- 78′Alpendorada, substitution:offR. Teixeira
- 79′Alpendorada, yellow card:
- 79′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 87′Alpendorada, substitution:G. Vieiraoff
- Full-time0 – 1
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Alpendorada
Formation unavailable
- 17Samuel Njoh
- 36D. Parini
- 21G. Goudelis
- 23Pepe
- 12Fábio Rodrigo↓ 87′
- 24C. Silva
- 28B. Cruz
- 25Danny
- 29R. Teixeira
- 77M. Agbeko
- 14Marcos Valente
Casa Pia
Formation unavailable
Key Stats
Top Performers
Goal
Match report
Casa Pia edge past Alpendorada with Pérez's late goal
Casa Pia won 1-0 at Alpendorada in the Round of 64 of the Taça de Portugal, with Sebastián Pérez scoring the only goal of the tie in the 72nd minute at the Municipal Stadium Alpendorada.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The two sides were goalless at half-time, and the second half stayed tight until Pérez struck to put Casa Pia in front. Alpendorada, the home side, found no reply in the time that remained, and the visitors saw the game out to book their place in the next round.
Casa Pia arrived having lost their previous league game 1-0 at home to Santa Clara, and they had failed to score in three of their last five games. Alpendorada had won 3-0 at home against Mação in their previous outing, and had beaten Casa Pia 3-0 at home in the meeting before that.
Sebastián Pérez scored the winning goal for Casa Pia in the 72nd minute, the only goal of the tie.
Casa Pia won 1–0 away against Alpendorada (half-time 0–0).
Alpendorada met Casa Pia in the Taça de Portugal (Round of 64). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Municipal Stadium Alpendorada.
Team pages: Alpendorada · Casa Pia · Taça de Portugal
Key moments
- 72' Goal: Sebastián Pérez — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Alpendorada
- 17 Samuel Njoh
- 36 D. Parini
- 21 G. Goudelis
- 23 Pepe
- 12 Fábio Rodrigo
- 24 C. Silva
- 28 B. Cruz
- 25 Danny
- 29 R. Teixeira
- 77 M. Agbeko
- 14 Marcos Valente
Casa Pia
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Alpendorada 34%, the draw 29%, Casa Pia 37%. It finished Alpendorada 0–1 Casa Pia.
Casa Pia's stronger rating gives them a slight edge — Casa Pia lead mainly because our strength rating puts them 58 points higher, 1405 to 1347, and their recent finishing below the quality of their chances adds a little, since cold streaks like this have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 29%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, with only small nudges either way.
Why Casa Pia at 37%?
Casa Pia sit 58 points higher on our strength rating — 1405 to 1347. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,409 such games. Casa Pia sit -0.49 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.6% of 1,382 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally. The 300 most similar past games finished 37–31–32.
Why only 37%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 37% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Alpendorada at 34%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,238.
What did we measure but not count?
Alpendorada arrive with 7 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Casa Pia bring a 168-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Alpendorada vs Casa Pia final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Taça de Portugal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Alpendorada and Casa Pia team pages or the Taça de Portugal page.