Salgueiros vs Estoril — Taça de Portugal: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 31′Estoril, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 60′Estoril, substitution:off
- 60′Estoril, substitution:off
- 63′Salgueiros, substitution:offZe Thiago
- 63′Salgueiros, substitution:M. EvoraoffK. Makinde
- 69′Estoril, yellow card:
- 80′Salgueiros, goal:1–0D. Monteiro
- 83′Salgueiros, yellow card:D. Monteiro
- 85′Estoril, yellow card:
- 86′Estoril, substitution:off
- 86′Estoril, substitution:off
- 87′Salgueiros, substitution:offC. J. Antunes Tiago
- 88′Salgueiros, substitution:N. Goncalvesoff
- 89′Estoril, goal:1–1
- Full-time1 – 1
- Half-time · E.T.1 – 1
- 108′Estoril, substitution:off
- 113′Salgueiros, substitution:M. SantosoffD. Monteiro
Salgueiros1
Estoril4Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Salgueiros
Formation unavailable
- –F. Borges
- 23Joel Monteiro
- –D. Monteiro
- 15J. Miguel
- 14T. Araujo
- 9K. Makinde
- 30C. J. Antunes Tiago
- –Ze Thiago
- 3João Serrão
- 22Manu
- 20I. M. Lemos↓ 88′
Estoril
Formation unavailable
Key Stats
Top Performers
Goals
1 goalMatch report
Estoril win shootout after Salgueiros are pegged back late
Estoril won 4-1 on penalties after a 1-1 draw with Salgueiros in the Round of 64 of the Taça de Portugal at the Estadio do Bolhao. The tie was level after 90 minutes and was settled by a shootout, which sent Vasco Matos's side into the next round.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half finished goalless, and the deadlock held until the 80th minute, when D. Monteiro scored to put Salgueiros 1-0 ahead. Rui Borges's side looked to be heading for the next round, having won both of their most recent games, against Sousense and Feirense.
Estoril, who had lost four of their previous five games, found an answer in the 89th minute. Rafik Guitane scored to make it 1-1, and the visitors held firm through the closing stages to force the shootout, in which they converted four penalties to the hosts' one.
Estoril return to league action on Sunday 25 October, when they host Moreirense in the Primeira Liga.
Salgueiros and Estoril drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0). Estoril won the penalty shootout 4–1.
Salgueiros met Estoril in the Taça de Portugal (Round of 64). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Estadio do Bolhao.
Team pages: Salgueiros · Estoril · Taça de Portugal
Key moments
- 80' Goal: D. Monteiro — 1–0
- 89' Goal: Rafik Guitane — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Salgueiros
- F. Borges
- 23 Joel Monteiro
- D. Monteiro
- 15 J. Miguel
- 14 T. Araujo
- 9 K. Makinde
- 30 C. J. Antunes Tiago
- Ze Thiago
- 3 João Serrão
- 22 Manu
- 20 I. M. Lemos
Estoril
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Salgueiros 24%, the draw 25%, Estoril 51%. It finished Salgueiros 1–1 Estoril.
Estoril's stronger rating gives them the edge — We give Estoril 51% mainly because they sit 130 points higher on our strength rating, 1440 to 1310, and their recent finishing has fallen short of their chances, a cold streak that tends to bounce back. The draw sits at 25%, starting from 28% for a gap this size and nudged down mostly by the cup-tie setting.
Why Estoril at 51%?
Estoril sit 130 points higher on our strength rating — 1440 to 1310. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,861 such games. A cup tie across divisions: Estoril carry a 130-point rating edge over Salgueiros, whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. Salgueiros have fewer than 25 rated matches, and their strength estimate began at our default starting value. Estoril sit -0.38 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,538 such games where the class table expected 35.9%. The 300 most similar past games finished 33–28–39.
Why only 51%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 51% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Salgueiros at 24%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,356. Cup ties across divisions take 2.1 points off the draw. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Estoril have shed 71 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,621 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. In our recorded league results, Estoril are winless in their last 8 away games: 2 draws and 6 defeats. The run began on 6 April 2026. Last recorded away league win: 15 March 2026 — Nacional 0–1 Estoril. Latest recorded away league result: 10 October 2026 — Academico Viseu 2–1 Estoril. Across 13,770 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 25.7%, compared with 25.0% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Salgueiros vs Estoril final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Taça de Portugal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Salgueiros and Estoril team pages or the Taça de Portugal page.