AVS vs Moreirense — Taça de Portugal: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 3′AVS, goal:1–0
- 42′Moreirense, red card:
- 43′Moreirense, yellow card:
- 44′Moreirense, substitution:off
- Half-time1 – 0
- 53′AVS, yellow card:
- 57′AVS, substitution:off
- 61′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 61′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 61′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 62′AVS, substitution:off
- 75′Moreirense, substitution:off
- 79′AVS, substitution:off
- 79′AVS, substitution:off
- 80′AVS, substitution:off
- 80′AVS, substitution:off
- 83′AVS, yellow card:
- 90′AVS, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
AVS
Formation unavailable
Moreirense
Formation unavailable
Key Stats
Top Performers
Goal
Match report
Rodrigo Pinho's early goal sends AVS past ten-man Moreirense
AVS booked their place in the next round of the Taça de Portugal with a 1-0 win over Moreirense in the Round of 64. Rodrigo Pinho scored the only goal of the tie in the third minute, and the hosts never lost that advantage.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Moreirense, managed by Vasco Costa, were left chasing the game from the opening minutes and their task became harder before the break. Maracás was sent off in the 42nd minute with the score still 1-0, leaving the visitors down to ten men for the whole of the second half.
Neither side added to the scoring after Maracás's dismissal, and AVS saw the game out to extend their unbeaten run to eight games. Sergio Fonseca's side had come into the tie having won three of their previous five, including a 3-1 victory over FC Porto. Moreirense's focus now turns to the league, where they travel to Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 25 October.
AVS beat Moreirense 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
AVS met Moreirense in the Taça de Portugal (Round of 64). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Team pages: AVS · Moreirense · Taça de Portugal
Key moments
- 3' Goal: Rodrigo Pinho — 1–0
- 42' Red card: Maracás
Starting line-ups
AVS
- 70 Roni
- 87 Matheus Pivô
- 9 Rodrigo Pinho
- 3 Lazar Rosić
- 25 Raul
- 88 F. Almeida
- 80 Hiago Santos
- 19 Rafael Lobato
- 26 Bernardo Conde
- 30 Talles Wander
- 12 Daniel Rivas
Moreirense
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave AVS 37%, the draw 31%, Moreirense 32%. It finished AVS 1–0 Moreirense.
Home advantage edges AVS ahead, draw very live — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, AVS lead at 37% mainly through the usual home advantage, though Moreirense's greater share of the ball pulls back towards them. The draw rises from a usual 27% to 31%, lifted by both teams' low-scoring recent games and by Moreirense's control of possession.
Why AVS in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1456 to 1463. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,828 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%).
Why only 37%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Moreirense hold 6 more possession points (41 to 35 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,486 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 31%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,744. The goals environment adds 3.0 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
AVS have gained 77 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,205 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Moreirense won 2 of the last 4 meetings with AVS. The record is 2 wins for Moreirense, 2 draws and 0 wins for AVS. These were 4 Primeira Liga games played at both grounds between 4 January 2025 and 16 May 2026. Latest meeting: 16 May 2026 — Moreirense 0–0 AVS. In 5,653 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the AVS vs Moreirense final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Taça de Portugal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the AVS and Moreirense team pages or the Taça de Portugal page.