Sanjoanense vs Nacional — Taça de Portugal: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 33′Nacional, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 46′Nacional, substitution:off
- 55′Nacional, yellow card:
- 62′Sanjoanense, yellow card:
- 63′Nacional, substitution:off
- 68′Nacional, substitution:off
- 68′Nacional, substitution:off
- 71′Sanjoanense, substitution:S. MaxwelloffD. Andrezo
- 71′Sanjoanense, substitution:J. Juahoff
- 75′Sanjoanense, substitution:off
- 82′Sanjoanense, goal:1–0S. Maxwell
- 83′Sanjoanense, yellow card:S. Maxwell
- 84′Sanjoanense, substitution:off
- 85′Nacional, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Sanjoanense
Formation unavailable
- 9Francisco Pinto↓ 84′
- 7A. Ramalho
- 20Erick Gabriel▮↓ 71′
- 3J. Araujo
- 65Gabriel Gomes Costa Sylvestre↓ 75′
- 10D. Andrezo
- 8P. Martins
- 6Dabo Baba Demonreve
- 5L. Dias
- 92B. Santos
- 22J. Ca
Nacional
Formation unavailable
Key Stats
Top Performers
Goal
1 goalMatch report
Sanjoanense edge Nacional through late S. Maxwell goal in Taça de Portugal
Sanjoanense beat Nacional 1-0 in the Round of 64 of the Taça de Portugal, a single goal from S. Maxwell in the 82nd minute settling a contest that had stayed goalless through the first half and well into the second.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Maxwell's strike arrived with eight minutes of normal time left and proved decisive, Nacional unable to find a reply. Sanjoanense, managed by Carlos Cruz Juan, advanced having beaten Pacos de Brandao 3-0 at home and won 4-1 at Ançã in their two games before this one.
Defeat extended a grim run for Nacional, who have now lost 7 games in a row. Alexandre Santos's side had lost all of their previous five outings, conceding 15 goals and scoring five in that spell. Their next game is at home to SC Braga in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 25 October.
Sanjoanense beat Nacional 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Sanjoanense met Nacional in the Taça de Portugal (Round of 64). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Team pages: Sanjoanense · Nacional · Taça de Portugal
Key moments
- 82' Goal: S. Maxwell — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Sanjoanense
- 9 Francisco Pinto
- 7 A. Ramalho
- 20 Erick Gabriel
- 3 J. Araujo
- 65 Gabriel Gomes Costa Sylvestre
- 10 D. Andrezo
- 8 P. Martins
- 6 Dabo Baba Demonreve
- 5 L. Dias
- 92 B. Santos
- 22 J. Ca
Nacional
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sanjoanense 39%, the draw 27%, Nacional 34%. It finished Sanjoanense 1–0 Nacional.
Home advantage edges Sanjoanense ahead of stronger Nacional — We give Sanjoanense 39% because the usual home advantage outweighs Nacional's edge on our strength rating, where they sit 70 points higher at 1397 to 1327. The draw starts from 29% for a gap this size and drops to 27%, as both sides' own recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why Sanjoanense at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. Nacional sit 70 points higher on our strength rating — 1397 to 1327. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,394 such games.
Why only 39%?
Because Nacional are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 27% and Nacional at 34%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nacional are 3 games into a new manager (Alexandre Santos), appointed 34 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. Sanjoanense arrive with 8 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Nacional bring a 231-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sanjoanense vs Nacional final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Taça de Portugal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Sanjoanense and Nacional team pages or the Taça de Portugal page.