Atlético Baleares vs Eldense — Copa del Rey: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 3′Atlético Baleares, yellow card:Fabrice MontcheuFoul
- 36′Eldense, yellow card:Foul
- 44′Atlético Baleares, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 55′Eldense, substitution:off
- 58′Eldense, goal:0–1assist
- 63′Eldense, substitution:off
- 64′Eldense, substitution:off
- 68′Atlético Baleares, yellow card:Foul
- 70′Atlético Baleares, substitution:off
- 71′Atlético Baleares, substitution:off
- 71′Atlético Baleares, substitution:off
- 74′Eldense, substitution:off
- 74′Eldense, substitution:off
- 75′Atlético Baleares, substitution:offF. Montcheu
- 76′Atlético Baleares, yellow card:Foul
- 82′Atlético Baleares, substitution:off
- 90+4′Eldense, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 1
Lineups
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Top Performers
Goal
Assist
Match report
Eldense edge past Atlético Baleares in Copa del Rey
Eldense won 1-0 away at Atlético Baleares at Estadio Balear in the Round of 128 of the Copa del Rey, a single goal after the interval separating the sides in a tie that stayed goalless through the first 45 minutes.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The game was level at half-time and remained that way until the 58th minute, when Jordi Martín supplied the pass for Iker Recio to score what proved the only goal of the night. Baleares, who lost 3-2 at home to Atlético Madrid in their previous outing, had no reply.
Discipline marked a fairly tidy contest. Four yellow cards went to the home side and two to Eldense, with no one sent off. Eldense, managed by Javier Calleja, had lost 2-0 at Albacete in their last game before this win.
Eldense now turn to league action, with Granada CF visiting them in the Segunda División on Sunday 1 November.
Iker Recio scored the decisive goal in the 58th minute, finishing from Jordi Martín's assist.
Atlético Baleares collected four yellow cards to Eldense's two.
Eldense won 1–0 away against Atlético Baleares (half-time 0–0).
Atlético Baleares met Eldense in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128). Kick-off was Thursday, 29 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Estadio Balear.
Team pages: Atlético Baleares · Eldense · Copa del Rey
Key moments
- 58' Goal: Iker Recio (assist: Jordi Martín) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Atlético Baleares (5-3-2)
- 13 Rivas
- 5 Álvaro Martín
- 18 I. Lopez
- 8 Jofre Cherta
- 11 Miguel Martín
- 2 F. Montcheu
- 22 M. Femenias
- 6 Gerardo Bonet
- 16 Hugo Anglada
- 17 R. Catala
- 19 A. Catala
Eldense (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atlético Baleares 38%, the draw 30%, Eldense 32%. It finished Atlético Baleares 0–1 Eldense.
Home advantage edges Atlético Baleares past stronger Eldense — Eldense sit 46 points higher on our strength rating, 1424 to 1378, but the usual home advantage is enough to give Atlético Baleares a slight lean at 38% to 32%. The draw starts at 29% for a strength gap this size, and both sides' recent games averaging 2.4 goals nudge it up to 30%.
Why Atlético Baleares at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Eldense sit 46 points higher on our strength rating — 1424 to 1378. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,116 such games.
Why only 38%?
Because Eldense are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 30% and Eldense at 32%.
Why the draw at 30%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,347. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Eldense are 6 games into a new manager (Javier Calleja), appointed 58 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. Atlético Baleares arrive with 10 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Eldense bring a 107-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atlético Baleares vs Eldense final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Copa del Rey fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Atlético Baleares and Eldense team pages or the Copa del Rey page.

