Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg — Eliteserien: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsTV 2 SportYouTubeMatch Events
- 30′Rosenborg, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Rosenborg, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Fredrikstad, substitution:off
- 55′Fredrikstad, substitution:off
- 56′Rosenborg, substitution:off
- 56′Rosenborg, substitution:off
- 58′Fredrikstad, yellow card:Argument
- 58′Rosenborg, yellow card:Argument
- 59′Rosenborg, yellow card:Dissent
- 67′Rosenborg, goal:0–2assist
- 70′Fredrikstad, substitution:off
- 78′Rosenborg, substitution:off
- 82′Fredrikstad, substitution:off
- 83′Fredrikstad, substitution:off
- 90+3′Rosenborg, penalty goal:0–3Penalty
- 90+3′Rosenborg, substitution:off
- 90+4′Rosenborg, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 3
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Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
Match report
Rosenborg beat Fredrikstad 3-0 to extend unbeaten run
Rosenborg won 3-0 at Fredrikstad Stadion in Eliteserien matchday 25, with Amin Chiakha scoring twice to move them to 43 points and keep them fourth in the table. Fredrikstad stayed 11th on 29 points, now 14 points behind the visitors.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough arrived on the stroke of half-time. Chiakha finished from a Noah Sahsah assist in the 45th minute to put Rosenborg 1-0 ahead at the interval, and the hosts could find no reply after the restart.
Rosenborg doubled their lead in the 67th minute when Mads Bomholt scored from an Emil Ceïde assist. Chiakha then added a penalty in the 90+3 minute to complete the scoring and seal his brace.
The match was closer in open play than the scoreline suggested, with Fredrikstad having 48% of possession and Rosenborg 52%. The result left Fredrikstad without a win in seven games and beaten in three in a row, while Rosenborg are unbeaten in seven. Rosenborg host Start on Saturday 7 November in the Eliteserien, and Fredrikstad entertain Brann the following day.
Chiakha scored twice, including a late penalty, and set the tone with the opener just before half-time. He and Bomholt, who also scored, shared the top rating of 8.2.
Rosenborg's expected goals figure of 2.41 was well above Fredrikstad's 1.54, a gap that the 3-0 scoreline broadly reflected.
Rosenborg won 3–0 away against Fredrikstad (half-time 0–1).
Fredrikstad met Rosenborg in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 25). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC at Fredrikstad Stadion. Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad.
Team pages: Fredrikstad · Rosenborg · Eliteserien
Key moments
- 45' Goal: Amin Chiakha (assist: Noah Sahsah) — 0–1
- 67' Goal: Mads Bomholt (assist: Emil Ceïde) — 0–2
- 90+3' Goal (penalty): Amin Chiakha — 0–3
Starting line-ups
Fredrikstad (3-4-3)
Rosenborg (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fredrikstad 34%, the draw 25%, Rosenborg 41%. It finished Fredrikstad 0–3 Rosenborg.
Rosenborg's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Rosenborg sit 144 points higher on our strength rating, 1601 to 1457, which outweighs the usual home advantage Fredrikstad get and gives Rosenborg 41% to their 34%. The draw starts near 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 25% because both teams' own recent games average 3.4 goals.
Why Rosenborg at 41%?
Rosenborg sit 144 points higher on our strength rating — 1601 to 1457. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,840 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–25–44.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Fredrikstad at 34%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Rosenborg scored +0.74 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,194 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.0% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Rosenborg have gained 93 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,971 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eliteserien fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fredrikstad 0–3 Rosenborg. Explore more on the Fredrikstad and Rosenborg team pages or the Eliteserien page.