Aalesund vs Sandefjord — Eliteserien: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsTV 2 SportYouTubeMatch Events
- 16′Sandefjord, goal:0–1assist
- 30′Sandefjord, goal:0–2
- 32′Sandefjord, yellow card:Foul
- 34′Aalesund, substitution:off
- 34′Aalesund, substitution:off
- 35′Aalesund, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 38′Aalesund, penalty goal:1–2Penalty
- 38′Sandefjord, yellow card:Foul
- 41′Aalesund, yellow card:Foul
- 44′Aalesund, yellow card:Foul
- 45+2′Aalesund, goal:2–2assist
- Half-time2 – 2
- 50′Sandefjord, goal:2–3
- 54′Sandefjord, goal:2–4assist
- 56′Aalesund, substitution:off
- 56′Aalesund, substitution:off
- 57′Aalesund, substitution:off
- 76′Aalesund, goal:3–4assist
- 77′Aalesund, yellow card:Dissent
- 78′Sandefjord, substitution:off
- 78′Sandefjord, substitution:off
- 82′Sandefjord, red card:
- 86′Sandefjord, yellow card:Time wasting
- 87′Sandefjord, substitution:off
- 90′Aalesund, yellow card:Handball
- Full-time3 – 4
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Aalesund
Sandefjord
Match report
Sandefjord edge seven-goal thriller at Aalesund despite late red card
Sandefjord won 4-3 at Aalesund in Eliteserien on matchday 25, taking the lead twice and holding on after Ervin Gigović was sent off in the 82nd minute at Color Line Stadion. Seven goals were scored in all, and the visitors ended a run of three games without a win.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Evangelos Patoulidis opened the scoring in the 16th minute, set up by Jakob Dunsby, and Dunsby added a second himself in the 30th. Aalesund hit back before the interval: M. Christensen scored from the penalty spot in the 38th minute, and Uba Charles levelled in first-half stoppage time (45+2) from E. Osenbroch's pass to make it 2-2 at the break.
Sandefjord regained control early in the second half. Dunsby struck again in the 50th minute to make it 3-2, and Oscar Kapskarmo made it 4-2 four minutes later, with Patoulidis providing the assist. Elias Myrlid pulled one back for Aalesund in the 76th minute, again created by Christensen, and the hosts pressed against ten men after Gigović's dismissal, but could not find an equaliser.
The victory lifted Sandefjord to 27 points and 12th place, two places and three points above Aalesund, who stayed 14th on 24. Next, on Sunday 8 November, Sandefjord are at home to Molde, while Aalesund travel to Lillestrom.
Jakob Dunsby scored twice and provided the assist for Patoulidis's opener, earning a rating of 8.69. Patoulidis was close behind on 8.59 with a goal and an assist.
Sandefjord had nine shots on target to Aalesund's five, despite having only 36% of possession.
Sandefjord won 4–3 away against Aalesund (half-time 2–2).
Aalesund met Sandefjord in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 25). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at Color Line Stadion. Referee: Tore Hansen.
Team pages: Aalesund · Sandefjord · Eliteserien
Key moments
- 16' Goal: Evangelos Patoulidis (assist: Jakob Dunsby) — 0–1
- 30' Goal: Jakob Dunsby — 0–2
- 38' Goal (penalty): M. Christensen — 1–2
- 45+2' Goal: Uba Charles (assist: E. Osenbroch) — 2–2
- 50' Goal: Jakob Dunsby — 2–3
- 54' Goal: Oscar Kapskarmo (assist: Evangelos Patoulidis) — 2–4
- 76' Goal: Elias Myrlid (assist: M. Christensen) — 3–4
- 82' Red card: Ervin Gigović
Starting line-ups
Aalesund (5-3-2)
Sandefjord (5-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Aalesund 29%, the draw 25%, Sandefjord 46%. It finished Aalesund 3–4 Sandefjord.
Sandefjord's stronger rating gives them the edge — We give Sandefjord 46% mainly because our strength rating has them 107 points higher, 1447 to 1341, and their habit of controlling the ball adds to that edge. The draw starts near 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, but slips to 25% because both teams' recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Sandefjord at 46%?
Sandefjord sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1447 to 1341. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,840 such games. Sandefjord hold 9 more possession points (52 to 43 in recent games) across a 107-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,322 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. Sandefjord sit -0.31 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,970 such games where the class table expected 35.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–25–43.
Why only 46%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 46% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Aalesund at 29%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Aalesund scored +0.55 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,194 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.0% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Out: Nikolaj Möller, a rotation player. Doubtful: Xander Lambrix, a star player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Aalesund vs Sandefjord final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eliteserien fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Aalesund 3–4 Sandefjord. Explore more on the Aalesund and Sandefjord team pages or the Eliteserien page.