HighlightsMAXSportYouTubeMatch Events
- 23′NK Osijek, substitution:off
- 27′Rudes, yellow card:Dissent
- 40′NK Osijek, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- Half-time
- 46′NK Osijek, substitution:off
- 57′Rudes, yellow card:Foul
- 60′Rudes, substitution:off
- 60′Rudes, substitution:off
- 60′Rudes, substitution:off
- 62′NK Osijek, substitution:off
- 75′Rudes, yellow card:Foul
- 78′Rudes, substitution:off
- 78′NK Osijek, substitution:off
- 78′NK Osijek, substitution:off
- 81′Rudes, goal:0–1
- 84′Rudes, substitution:off
- 87′Rudes, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 1
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NK Osijek
Rudes
Match report
Rudes stun NK Osijek with late Saho winner at Opus Arena
Rudes won 1-0 away at NK Osijek on HNL Matchday 11, Cherno Saho scoring the only goal of the game in the 81st minute at Opus Arena. The two sides were level at 0-0 at half-time, and the visitors had to wait until the closing stages to find a way through.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
NK Osijek held two-thirds of the ball, with 67 per cent possession to 33, and won seven corners to three. Yet the contest was far tighter in front of goal: both sides had 13 shots, and Rudes put four of theirs on target to the hosts' three.
The decisive moment arrived nine minutes from time, when Saho struck to put Rudes 1-0 ahead. NK Osijek, who had come into the game with 17 points, found no reply. Rudes, who collected four yellow cards without conceding, moved from 10th to 9th in the table on 10 points, while NK Osijek slipped from fourth to fifth.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Rudes an 11% chance of winning. On Saturday 31 October, both sides are in HNL action again: NK Osijek travel to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, while Rudes host Dinamo Zagreb.
Cherno Saho scored the only goal of the match in the 81st minute and was the top-rated player on the pitch with a rating of 7.76. Luka Jelenić led the home side's performers on 7.62.
NK Osijek had 67 per cent of possession but still lost, with Rudes drawing level on shots at 13 apiece.
Rudes won 1–0 away against NK Osijek (half-time 0–0).
NK Osijek met Rudes in the HNL (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at Opus Arena. Referee: Mateo Erceg.
Key moments
- 81' Goal: Cherno Saho — 0–1
Starting line-ups
NK Osijek (4-2-3-1)
- 31 Marko Malenica (c)
- 2 Marcel Heister
- 26 Luka Jelenić
- 98 Izak Ježić
- 22 Jay Kruiver
- 16 Oleksandr Petrusenko
- 18 Niko Farkaš
- 30 A. Ljatifi
- 11 Luka Tunjic
- 39 Domagoj Bukvić
- 79 Armando León
Rudes (3-4-1-2)
- 95 Lovre Rogić (c)
- 29 Slavko Bralić
- 5 Marko Stolnik
- 42 Marko Zebić
- 27 Felipe Curcio
- 37 Noa Skoko
- 24 Ivan Đorić
- 2 Bruno Unušić
- 10 V. Seitz
- 88 Saad El Haddad
- 78 Junior Fernándes
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave NK Osijek 72%, the draw 17%, Rudes 11%. It finished NK Osijek 0–1 Rudes.
Strength gap makes NK Osijek clear favourites — We give NK Osijek 72% mainly because our strength rating has them 246 points higher, 1438 to 1192, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw starts from the usual 19% for a gap this size and drops to 17% because both sides' own recent games average 3.7 goals.
Why NK Osijek at 72%?
NK Osijek sit 246 points higher on our strength rating — 1438 to 1192. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.6% of 5,959 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 67–21–12.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 72% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Rudes at 11%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,416. The goals environment takes 1.6 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
NK Osijek have averaged 14 percentage points more possession than Rudes in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. NK Osijek have won their last 5 home meetings with Rudes. Those matches were played between 9 December 2017 and 27 January 2024, across 5 HNL games. Latest home meeting: 27 January 2024 — NK Osijek 2–0 Rudes. Before the winning run: 16 July 2017 — NK Osijek 1–1 Rudes. Across 5,376 historical matches following at least three consecutive home wins against the same opponent, hosts won 59.3%, compared with 57.9% expected from team strength.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the NK Osijek vs Rudes final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this HNL fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from NK Osijek 0–1 Rudes. Explore more on the NK Osijek and Rudes team pages or the HNL page.