NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek — HNL: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMAXSportYouTubeMatch Events
- 7′NK Osijek, goal:0–1assist
- 21′NK Osijek, yellow card:Foul
- 36′NK Osijek, goal:0–2assist
- 38′NK Osijek, yellow card:Time wasting
- Half-time0 – 2
- 46′NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, substitution:off
- 46′NK Osijek, substitution:off
- 56′NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, substitution:off
- 58′NK Osijek, yellow card:Foul
- 58′NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, yellow card:Foul
- 60′NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, goal:1–2
- 69′NK Osijek, substitution:off
- 76′NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, substitution:off
- 83′NK Osijek, substitution:off
- 85′NK Osijek, yellow card:Foul
- 86′NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, substitution:off
- 90+1′NK Osijek, substitution:off
- 90+1′NK Osijek, substitution:off
- 90+3′NK Osijek, goal:1–3assist
- 90+5′NK Osijek, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- Full-time1 – 3
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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
Match report
NK Osijek beat NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 to climb to third in the HNL
NK Osijek won 3-1 away to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in HNL Matchday 12 at Stadion Kranjčevićeva, ending a run of 4 games without a win. The visitors were ahead after seven minutes, when Luka Tunjic scored from a Niko Farkaš assist, and they doubled the lead on 36 minutes as Farkaš himself found the net, with D. Kalem providing the final pass.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Lokomotiva trailed 2-0 at half-time and pulled a goal back on 60 minutes through Mirko Marić, which made it 1-2. Osijek then stayed in front and sealed the points deep into stoppage time, Balelo scoring in the 90+3 minute from a Senad Mustafic assist to make it 3-1.
The hosts had 56 per cent of the possession and won the corner count by 10 to 2, yet Osijek had the greater threat in front of goal, with six shots on target to Lokomotiva's five. The result lifted Osijek from fifth to third on 20 points, nine clear of ninth-placed Lokomotiva, who stayed on 11 points.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given NK Osijek a 29% chance of winning. Osijek play Hajduk Split at home on Sunday 8 November in the HNL, while Lokomotiva host Rudes on Friday 6 November in the same competition.
Mirko Marić scored Lokomotiva's only goal and earned the match's top rating of 8.11, although it was not enough to prevent defeat. Niko Farkaš scored once and set up another for the visitors.
Lokomotiva won the corner count by 10 to 2 but still lost by two goals.
NK Osijek won 3–1 away against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (half-time 0–2).
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb met NK Osijek in the HNL (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 17:00 UTC at Stadion Kranjčevićeva. Referee: M. Crnojevic.
Team pages: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · NK Osijek · HNL
Key moments
- 7' Goal: Luka Tunjic (assist: Niko Farkaš) — 0–1
- 36' Goal: Niko Farkaš (assist: D. Kalem) — 0–2
- 60' Goal: Mirko Marić — 1–2
- 90+3' Goal: Balelo (assist: Senad Mustafic) — 1–3
Starting line-ups
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (4-2-3-1)
NK Osijek (4-2-3-1)
- 31 Marko Malenica
- 47 D. Kalem
- 26 Luka Jelenić
- 49 Ivano Kolarik
- 22 Jay Kruiver
- 16 Oleksandr Petrusenko
- 18 Niko Farkaš
- 30 A. Ljatifi
- 11 Luka Tunjic
- 21 Cantero
- 79 Armando León
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 45%, the draw 26%, NK Osijek 29%. It finished NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–3 NK Osijek.
Home advantage gives Lokomotiva a slight lean — With the sides level on our strength rating, home advantage is the main reason we give Lokomotiva Zagreb 45%, though Osijek's habit of controlling the ball pulls some way against it. The draw sits at 26%, just under the usual 27.5% for sides this level, as Osijek's finishing streak lowers it more than their ball control raises it.
Why NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1422 to 1419. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,572 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%). NK Osijek scored +0.47 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.5% of 1,660 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 45%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. NK Osijek hold 13 more possession points (57 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.7% across 5,946 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,278. The cool-off factor takes 2.1 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this HNL fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–3 NK Osijek. Explore more on the NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek team pages or the HNL page.