New York City FC vs 31.07.26 23:301 – 1Full Time
Toronto FC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
New York City FC and Toronto FC share the points at Yankee Stadium
New York City FC and Toronto FC drew 1-1 in a Major League Soccer regular season fixture at Yankee Stadium, with both goals arriving before half-time to leave the points shared in matchday 18 of the competition.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Nicolás Fernández Mercau put the hosts ahead from the penalty spot in the eighth minute, sending New York City FC into an early lead. Toronto FC responded deep into first-half stoppage time when Djordje Mihailović levelled in the sixth added minute, and the score stood at 1-1 at the interval and remained that way until the final whistle.
New York City FC had the better of the chances across the match, registering 16 shots to Toronto FC's 13 and edging possession slightly less at 49 percent, yet still producing the higher expected goals figure. Toronto FC picked up four yellow cards to their opponents' two, a sign of the physical edge to a contest refereed by Ramy Touchan.
Fernández Mercau converted his penalty and finished with a rating of 7.9, the highest of any player on the pitch, while Mihailović's equaliser earned him a 7.7 rating for Toronto FC.
New York City FC out-shot Toronto FC 16 to 13 over the course of the match.
New York City FC and Toronto FC drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
New York City FC met Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 18). Kick-off was Friday, 31 July 2026, 23:30 UTC at Yankee Stadium. Referee: Ramy Touchan.
Team pages: New York City FC · Toronto FC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 8' Goal (penalty): Nicolás Fernández Mercau — 1–0
- 45+6' Goal: Djordje Mihailović — 1–1
Starting line-ups
New York City FC (4-1-4-1)
Toronto FC (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave New York City FC 72%, the draw 19%, Toronto FC 9%. It finished New York City FC 1–1 Toronto FC.
New York City FC's rating gap decides it — New York City FC are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top makes it one-sided for New York City FC. The draw at 19% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why New York City FC at 72%?
New York City FC sit 236 points higher on our strength rating — 1652 to 1416. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,901 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,055 games vs 44.9% across all 98,719 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 66–22–12.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 72% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Toronto FC at 9%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,697.
What did we measure but not count?
New York City FC average 6 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 236 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. New York City FC scored +0.41 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,724 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the New York City FC vs Toronto FC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from New York City FC 1–1 Toronto FC. Explore more on the New York City FC and Toronto FC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of New York City FC vs Toronto FC?
New York City FC and Toronto FC drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
›Who scored in New York City FC vs Toronto FC?
Nicolás Fernández Mercau (8') (penalty) for New York City FC; Djordje Mihailović (45+6') for Toronto FC.
›Where can I watch New York City FC vs Toronto FC highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from New York City FC 1–1 Toronto FC are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between New York City FC and Toronto FC?
New York City FC and Toronto FC have met 10 times — 7 wins for New York City FC, 2 wins for Toronto FC and 1 draw.