New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 23′New York Red Bulls, goal:1–0assist
- 27′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:Foul
- 43′New York Red Bulls, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 46′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 52′Orlando City SC, goal:2–1assist
- 59′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:Time wasting
- 60′New York Red Bulls, goal:3–1assist
- 62′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 63′Orlando City SC, goal:3–2assist
- 69′Orlando City SC, yellow card:Argument
- 70′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 72′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 75′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 75′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 85′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 85′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 87′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 88′Orlando City SC, yellow card:Foul
- 90+6′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:Time wasting
- Full-time3 – 2
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
Match report
Red Bulls hold off Orlando comeback to win 3-2
New York Red Bulls beat Orlando City SC 3-2 at Sports Illustrated Stadium in a Major League Soccer Regular Season - 18 fixture, surviving a second-half fightback from the visitors after building a two-goal cushion before the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
M. Jimenez opened the scoring in the 23rd minute, finishing off a Gustav Berggren assist, and Emil Forsberg doubled the lead in the 43rd minute after being set up by Cade Cowell, sending the home side in 2-0 up at half-time.
Orlando responded quickly after the restart as Tyrese Spicer converted a Braian Ojeda pass in the 52nd minute to make it 2-1, but Jimenez restored the two-goal gap in the 60th minute with Cowell supplying his second assist of the night. Griffin Dorsey, teed up by Antoine Griezmann, pulled one back in the 63rd minute to make it 3-2, but the visitors could not find a leveller thereafter.
New York finished with 18 shots to Orlando's 19 despite having just 41 percent of possession, reflecting a direct approach that yielded eight shots on target compared with the visitors' five.
Cowell provided two assists in the win, setting up both of Jimenez's goals to earn the top rating of the match at 8.3.
New York's eight shots on target, against Orlando's five, underlined their greater efficiency in front of goal despite seeing less of the ball.
New York Red Bulls beat Orlando City SC 3–2 (half-time 2–0).
New York Red Bulls met Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 18). Kick-off was Saturday, 1 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Referee: Filip Dujic.
Team pages: New York Red Bulls · Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 23' Goal: M. Jimenez (assist: Gustav Berggren) — 1–0
- 43' Goal: Emil Forsberg (assist: Cade Cowell) — 2–0
- 52' Goal: Tyrese Spicer (assist: Braian Ojeda) — 2–1
- 60' Goal: M. Jimenez (assist: Cade Cowell) — 3–1
- 63' Goal: Griffin Dorsey (assist: Antoine Griezmann) — 3–2
Starting line-ups
New York Red Bulls (4-3-3)
- 34 Ethan Horvath
- 56 M. Dos Santos
- 14 Julián Bazán
- 2 Justin Che
- 12 Dylan Nealis
- 10 Emil Forsberg (c)
- 4 Gustav Berggren
- 48 Ronald Donkor
- 16 Julian Hall
- 91 M. Jimenez
- 7 Cade Cowell
Orlando City SC (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave New York Red Bulls 38%, the draw 25%, Orlando City SC 37%. It finished New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC.
Home ground outweighs Orlando City SC's rating edge — Orlando City SC are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Major League Soccer home advantage gives New York Red Bulls the lean. The draw at 25% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why New York Red Bulls at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Orlando City SC sit 115 points higher on our strength rating — 1495 to 1610. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 13,001 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,056 games vs 44.9% across all 98,721 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 38%?
Because Orlando City SC are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 25% and Orlando City SC at 37%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 4.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,823. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Orlando City SC scored +0.75 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,725 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. New York Red Bulls are missing 1 regular starter — Emil Forsberg — about 23% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC. Explore more on the New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.