New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 17′Chicago Fire, yellow card:Foul
- 38′Chicago Fire, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 46′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 46′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 56′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 57′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 64′Chicago Fire, yellow card:Foul
- 65′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- 65′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- 66′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:Foul
- 77′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- 85′New York Red Bulls, goal:1–1assist
- 85′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 86′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- 87′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- 87′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Videos
Player Ratings
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
Match report
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire — the facts
New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
New York Red Bulls met Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 21). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Referee: Sergii Demianchuk.
Team pages: New York Red Bulls · Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 38' Goal: Maren Haile-Selassie (assist: Viktor Radojević) — 0–1 · Watch Maren Haile-Selassie's goal video (38')
- 85' Goal: Cameron Harper (assist: Eric Choupo-Moting) — 1–1 · Watch Cameron Harper's goal video (85')
Starting line-ups
New York Red Bulls
- 91 M. Jimenez
- 34 Ethan Horvath
- 10 Emil Forsberg (c)
- 2 Justin Che
- 7 Cade Cowell
- 12 Dylan Nealis
- 48 Ronald Donkor
- 16 Julian Hall
- 15 Adri Mehmeti
- 56 M. Dos Santos
- 14 Julián Bazán
Chicago Fire (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave New York Red Bulls 41%, the draw 25%, Chicago Fire 34%. It finished New York Red Bulls 1–1 Chicago Fire.
Home ground outweighs Chicago Fire's rating edge — Chicago Fire are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Major League Soccer home advantage plus New York Red Bulls' cold finishing due to recover give New York Red Bulls the lean. The draw at 25% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why New York Red Bulls at 41%?
Home ground, against the rating. Chicago Fire sit 144 points higher on our strength rating — 1490 to 1634. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,069 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.4% of 5,101 games vs 44.9% across all 99,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. New York Red Bulls sit -0.47 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,369 such games where the class table expected 36.3%.
Why only 41%?
Because Chicago Fire are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 25% and Chicago Fire at 34%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,962. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Chicago Fire's last five: W-W-W-W-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 6. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2186 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3996 when clearly colder. Chicago Fire have played 3+ games in the last two weeks; their opponents haven't. Between equals, congested home sides won 47.0% of 2421 measured games and congested visitors 28.2% of 2463 — the cells disagree with each other and with the flat rest table, so schedule stays a watch item at 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Maren Haile-Selassie's goal against New York Red Bulls (38').
- Watch Cameron Harper's goal against Chicago Fire (85').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from New York Red Bulls 1–1 Chicago Fire. Explore more on the New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire team pages or the Major League Soccer page.