Portland Timbers vs Austin — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 25′Austin, goal:0–1assist
- 35′Austin, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 47′Austin, yellow card:
- 63′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 63′Austin, substitution:off
- 63′Austin, substitution:off
- 71′Austin, substitution:off
- 75′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 75′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 83′Austin, substitution:off
- 83′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 83′Austin, substitution:off
- 86′Portland Timbers, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 88′Austin, yellow card:
- 88′Portland Timbers, yellow card:
- 89′Portland Timbers, penalty goal:1–1Penalty
- 90+3′Austin, goal:1–2
- 90+7′Austin, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Videos
Player Ratings
Portland Timbers
Austin
Match report
Late Svatok strike sinks Portland Timbers as Austin snatch victory
Austin came from behind in stoppage time to beat Portland Timbers 2-1 at Providence Park in a Major League Soccer regular season fixture, denying the hosts a point they had appeared to salvage deep into the second half. The result was Austin's second win in their last five outings, while Portland slipped to a fifth defeat in that span.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Facundo Torres put Austin ahead in the 25th minute, finishing off an assist from Joseph Rosales to send the visitors in front at half-time. Portland pushed for an equaliser and got one in the 89th minute when Antony converted from the penalty spot to level the score at 1-1. Any hope of a share of the points for the hosts was extinguished almost immediately, as Oleksandr Svatok struck in the third minute of stoppage time to restore Austin's lead and settle the contest at 2-1.
Portland edged possession at 51 percent and were the more disciplined side in terms of expected goals, generating 1.08 to Austin's 1.46, yet it was the away side who made their chances count with five shots on target from ten attempts. Portland committed more fouls and picked up three yellow cards to Austin's one, a sign of the frustration that built as the match slipped away from them in the closing stages.
Svatok scored the decisive stoppage-time winner for Austin and finished with a rating of 7.3, while teammate Torres also netted and matched that rating with his 25th-minute opener.
Despite having less of the ball, Austin were the more clinical side, converting two goals from ten shots compared with Portland's one from thirteen.
Austin won 2–1 away against Portland Timbers (half-time 0–1).
Portland Timbers met Austin in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 22). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 02:30 UTC at Providence Park. Referee: Guido Gonzalez. Attendance: 20,952.
Team pages: Portland Timbers · Austin · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 25' Goal: Facundo Torres (assist: Joseph Rosales) — 0–1
- 89' Goal (penalty): Antony — 1–1
- 90+3' Goal: Oleksandr Svatok — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Portland Timbers (4-3-3)
- 41 James Pantemis
- 27 Jimer Fory
- 4 Kamal Miller
- 20 Finn Surman (c)
- 15 Eric Miller
- 10 David Da Costa
- 30 José Caicedo
- 17 Cole Bassett
- 99 Kristoffer Velde
- 88 Gage Guerra
- 7 Ariel Lassiter
Austin (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Portland Timbers 57%, the draw 24%, Austin 19%. It finished Portland Timbers 1–2 Austin.
A slight rating edge to Portland Timbers, little else — Portland Timbers are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives Portland Timbers a clear lead. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Portland Timbers at 57%?
Portland Timbers sit 90 points higher on our strength rating — 1568 to 1478. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,384 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.4% of 5,116 games vs 44.9% across all 99,457 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Austin at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,023. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Portland Timbers have gained 85 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,243 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Portland Timbers are missing their first-choice keeper and 2 more regular starters — Jimer Fory, Brandon Bye, James Pantemis — about 27% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Portland Timbers vs Austin final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Portland Timbers 1–2 Austin. Explore more on the Portland Timbers and Austin team pages or the Major League Soccer page.