Austin vs Colorado Rapids — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 22′Colorado Rapids, goal:0–1
- 27′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 45+4′Colorado Rapids, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Austin, substitution:off
- 58′Austin, substitution:off
- 58′Austin, substitution:off
- 62′Colorado Rapids, yellow card:
- 69′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 79′Austin, goal:1–1assist
- 82′Austin, substitution:off
- 86′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- 86′Colorado Rapids, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Austin
Colorado Rapids
Match report
Austin vs Colorado Rapids — the facts
Austin and Colorado Rapids drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Austin met Colorado Rapids in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 24). Kick-off was Thursday, 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC at Q2 Stadium. Referee: Sergii Demianchuk. Attendance: 20,738.
Team pages: Austin · Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 22' Goal: Paxten Aaronson — 0–1
- 79' Goal: Facundo Torres (assist: Žan Kolmanič) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Austin (3-4-3)
Colorado Rapids (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Austin 38%, the draw 32%, Colorado Rapids 30%. It finished Austin 1–1 Colorado Rapids.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage gives Austin the lean. The draw at 32% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Austin in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1494 to 1518. Sides this close won 43.1% of 15,963 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.2%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.4% of 5,145 games vs 44.9% across all 100,021 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 38%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Colorado Rapids hold 6 more possession points (55 to 49 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.3% across 5,579 games, from 44.0% when styles were level. Colorado Rapids sit -0.39 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.4% of 1,356 games, vs 29.2% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Colorado Rapids win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,196. The goals environment adds 3.5 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Colorado Rapids are missing 2 regular starters — Miguel Navarro, Hamzat Ojediran — about 15% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. Last 6 between them: Austin 2 wins, 0 draws, Colorado Rapids 4 wins. Most recently Colorado Rapids 1–0 Austin, 5 weeks ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5623 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Austin vs Colorado Rapids final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Austin 1–1 Colorado Rapids. Explore more on the Austin and Colorado Rapids team pages or the Major League Soccer page.