St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 5′Minnesota United FC, goal:0–1assist
- 18′St. Louis City, goal:1–1
- 22′St. Louis City, goal:2–1assist
- 38′St. Louis City, goal:3–1assist
- Half-time3 – 1
- 47′Minnesota United FC, yellow card:
- 57′St. Louis City, penalty goal:4–1Penalty
- 59′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 59′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 59′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 61′Minnesota United FC, penalty goal:4–2Penalty
- 64′Minnesota United FC, yellow card:
- 75′Minnesota United FC, substitution:off
- 75′Minnesota United FC, substitution:off
- 75′Minnesota United FC, substitution:off
- 76′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 76′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 80′Minnesota United FC, second yellow card:
- 83′Minnesota United FC, substitution:off
- Full-time4 – 2
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St. Louis City
Minnesota United FC
Match report
St. Louis City overwhelm Minnesota United in six-goal thriller
St. Louis City defeated Minnesota United FC 4-2 in a Major League Soccer fixture at CITYPARK, in a Regular Season - 25 clash that saw the home side score three times inside the opening 38 minutes to seize control after conceding first.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Minnesota struck early through Tomás Chancalay, set up by Joaquín Pereyra in the fifth minute, but St. Louis responded quickly. Daniel Edelman levelled in the 18th minute, then Carl Holse put the hosts ahead six minutes later with an assist from Conrad Wallem, and Rafael Navarro added a third just before the half, teeing off Holse's pass in the 38th minute.
The second half brought penalties at both ends. Navarro converted from the spot in the 57th minute to make it 4-1, before Kelvin Yeboah pulled one back for Minnesota four minutes later, though the visitors could not find a way back into the contest thereafter.
St. Louis dominated possession and territory throughout, and Minnesota's afternoon was further complicated by a red card, leaving Knowles's side chasing the game with ten men for a spell.
Rafael Navarro scored twice, including a second-half penalty, to help St. Louis City pull clear, while Carl Holse contributed a goal and an assist in the same victory.
St. Louis City controlled 64% of possession, underlining their dominance over Minnesota United for long periods of the match.
St. Louis City beat Minnesota United FC 4–2 (half-time 3–1).
St. Louis City met Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 25). Kick-off was Sunday, 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC at CITYPARK. Referee: Ricardo Montero. Attendance: 22,423.
Team pages: St. Louis City · Minnesota United FC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 5' Goal: Tomás Chancalay (assist: Joaquín Pereyra) — 0–1
- 18' Goal: Daniel Edelman — 1–1
- 22' Goal: Carlo Holse (assist: Conrad Wallem) — 2–1
- 38' Goal: Rafael Navarro (assist: Carlo Holse) — 3–1
- 57' Goal (penalty): Rafael Navarro — 4–1
- 61' Goal (penalty): Kelvin Yeboah — 4–2
Starting line-ups
St. Louis City (3-4-1-2)
Minnesota United FC (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave St. Louis City 61%, the draw 23%, Minnesota United FC 16%. It finished St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC.
A slight rating edge to St. Louis City, little else — St. Louis City are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage plus their control of the ball on top give St. Louis City a clear lead. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why St. Louis City at 61%?
St. Louis City sit 60 points higher on our strength rating — 1623 to 1564. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,454 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.3% of 5,159 games vs 44.9% across all 100,077 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. St. Louis City hold 7 more possession points (54 to 47 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,211 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 61%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 61% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Minnesota United FC at 16%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.6 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,178. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
St. Louis City have gained 88 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,345 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Minnesota United FC won all of the last 5 games between these sides. Head-to-head dominance hasn't carried forward beyond the rating: sides that won 4+ of the last 5 meetings won 55.6% of 9,302 next meetings vs 55.0% class-expected. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC. Explore more on the St. Louis City and Minnesota United FC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.