San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 1′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- 19′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- 19′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- 38′San Jose Earthquakes, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 65′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 69′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 69′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 75′Houston Dynamo, yellow card:
- 77′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 77′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 82′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 82′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 84′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 90′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo
Match report
San Jose Earthquakes edge Houston Dynamo thanks to Munie strike
San Jose Earthquakes beat Houston Dynamo 1-0 at PayPal Park in a Major League Soccer regular season fixture, with the only goal arriving before the interval to settle a tight contest between two sides separated by just two points in the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Daniel Munie broke the deadlock in the 38th minute, converting from an assist by Beau Leroux to send the hosts in front, and that lead held through the second half despite Houston enjoying far greater control of the ball. The Dynamo dominated possession but could not find a way past a resolute San Jose defence.
Houston pushed for an equaliser, registering more shots on target than their hosts, yet San Jose's goalkeeping and defensive discipline proved decisive as the visitors were repelled time and again. The scoreline remained unchanged from Munie's first-half finish through to the final whistle.
Angus Gunn produced a string of saves to preserve San Jose's clean sheet and earned the highest rating on the pitch, while Munie's decisive goal and composed display also stood out for the hosts.
Houston Dynamo held 62% of possession but managed only one goal fewer than five shots on target compared to San Jose's single effort, underlining how territorial dominance did not translate into a result.
San Jose Earthquakes beat Houston Dynamo 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
San Jose Earthquakes met Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 25). Kick-off was Sunday, 13 September 2026, 02:30 UTC at PayPal Park. Referee: Rosendo Mendoza. Attendance: 15,204.
Team pages: San Jose Earthquakes · Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 38' Goal: Daniel Munie (assist: Beau Leroux) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
San Jose Earthquakes (3-4-2-1)
Houston Dynamo (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave San Jose Earthquakes 42%, the draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 28%. It finished San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 Houston Dynamo.
Home ground outweighs Houston Dynamo's rating edge — Houston Dynamo are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Major League Soccer home advantage gives San Jose Earthquakes the lean. The draw at 30% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why San Jose Earthquakes at 42%?
Home ground, against the rating. Houston Dynamo sit 78 points higher on our strength rating — 1528 to 1606. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,621 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.3% of 5,159 games vs 44.9% across all 100,077 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 42%?
Because Houston Dynamo are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 30% and Houston Dynamo at 28%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Houston Dynamo win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,797. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
San Jose Earthquakes sit -0.35 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. San Jose Earthquakes have shed 79 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,737 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 Houston Dynamo. Explore more on the San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo team pages or the Major League Soccer page.

