St. Louis City vs Toronto FC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 23′Toronto FC, yellow card:
- 28′St. Louis City, yellow card:
- 41′St. Louis City, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 54′St. Louis City, goal:2–0assist
- 56′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 62′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 62′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 63′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 68′St. Louis City, goal:3–0assist
- 72′St. Louis City, yellow card:
- 74′Toronto FC, yellow card:
- 74′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 77′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 78′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 83′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 89′St. Louis City, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 90+1′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 90+7′Toronto FC, goal:3–1assist
- Full-time3 – 1
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Key Stats
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St. Louis City
Toronto FC
Match report
St. Louis City extend unbeaten run to 18 with 3-1 win over Toronto FC
St. Louis City beat Toronto FC 3-1 at CITYPARK in Major League Soccer on Matchday 26, a result that stretched their unbeaten run to 18 games. The hosts were ahead before the interval and added two more goals after it, leaving the visitors with only a stoppage-time consolation.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Carl Holse broke the deadlock in the 41st minute, converting a delivery from Alexandru Mățan to make it 1-0 at half-time. Mățan was involved again in the 54th minute, setting up Tomas Totland for the second, and Simon Becher completed the home side's scoring in the 68th minute from a Conrad Wallem assist.
Toronto, beaten 3-0 at Orlando City SC in their previous game, found a way through only in the 90+7 minute, when Theodor Corbeanu scored from an Alonso Coello assist to make it 3-1. St. Louis had dominated possession with 62 per cent and shots by 18 to 10, while the win lifted them to sixth in the table on 44 points, with Toronto 25th on 29.
Carl Holse scored the opening goal and earned the match's highest rating at 8.26. Alexandru Mățan, rated 8.13, provided two assists for the home side's first two goals.
St. Louis put eight of their 18 shots on target, while Toronto managed only two of their 10.
St. Louis City beat Toronto FC 3–1 (half-time 1–0).
St. Louis City met Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 26). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 00:30 UTC at CITYPARK. Referee: Lukasz Szpala. Attendance: 22,423.
Team pages: St. Louis City · Toronto FC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 41' Goal: Carlo Holse (assist: Alexandru Mățan) — 1–0
- 54' Goal: Tomas Totland (assist: Alexandru Mățan) — 2–0
- 68' Goal: Simon Becher (assist: Conrad Wallem) — 3–0
- 90+7' Goal: Theo Corbeanu (assist: Alonso Coello) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
St. Louis City (3-4-3)
Toronto FC (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave St. Louis City 63%, the draw 22%, Toronto FC 15%. It finished St. Louis City 3–1 Toronto FC.
St. Louis City's rating edge carries it — St. Louis City are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives St. Louis City a clear lead. The draw at 22% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why St. Louis City at 63%?
St. Louis City sit 198 points higher on our strength rating — 1654 to 1455. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,822 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.3% of 5,175 games vs 44.9% across all 100,303 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 68–16–16.
Why only 63%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 63% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Toronto FC at 15%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,242. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
St. Louis City have averaged 13 percentage points more possession than Toronto FC in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. St. Louis City scored +0.57 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,876 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the St. Louis City vs Toronto FC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from St. Louis City 3–1 Toronto FC. Explore more on the St. Louis City and Toronto FC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.