St. Louis City vs 20.09.26 00:303 – 1Full Time
Toronto FC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
St. Louis City cruise past Toronto FC with three-goal first-half surge
St. Louis City beat Toronto FC 3-1 in Major League Soccer's regular season matchday 26 fixture at CITYPARK, moving further clear in fifth place while Toronto remain stuck in 25th. Carl Holse opened the scoring in the 41st minute, finished off an Alexandru Mățan assist, to send the home side in ahead at the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
St. Louis extended their lead early in the second half when Tomas Totland converted another Mățan assist in the 54th minute, before Simon Becher added a third in the 68th minute, teed up by Conrad Wallem. Toronto FC found a late consolation deep into stoppage time through Theodor Corbeanu, assisted by Alonso Coello, but it did nothing to change the outcome.
The hosts dominated throughout, holding 61 percent of possession and outshooting their visitors 17 to 10, with eight of those efforts on target compared with just two for Toronto. St. Louis City's control was reflected across the match statistics, from corners won to the chances created.
Alexandru Mățan supplied two assists and earned the highest rating on the pitch, setting up both of St. Louis City's first two goals.
St. Louis City's 61 percent share of possession underlined their control over the contest.
St. Louis City beat Toronto FC 3–1 (half-time 1–0).
St. Louis City met Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 26). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 00:30 UTC at Energizer Park. Referee: Lukasz Szpala.
Team pages: St. Louis City · Toronto FC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 41' Goal: Carl Holse (assist: Alexandru Mățan) — 1–0
- 54' Goal: Tomas Totland (assist: Alexandru Mățan) — 2–0
- 68' Goal: Simon Becher (assist: Conrad Wallem) — 3–0
- 90+7' Goal: Theodor Corbeanu (assist: Alonso Coello) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
St. Louis City (3-4-3)
Toronto FC (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave St. Louis City 63%, the draw 22%, Toronto FC 15%. It finished St. Louis City 3–1 Toronto FC.
St. Louis City's rating edge carries it — St. Louis City are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives St. Louis City a clear lead. The draw at 22% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why St. Louis City at 63%?
St. Louis City sit 198 points higher on our strength rating — 1654 to 1455. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,822 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.3% of 5,175 games vs 44.9% across all 100,303 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 68–16–16.
Why only 63%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 63% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Toronto FC at 15%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,242. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
St. Louis City have averaged 13 percentage points more possession than Toronto FC in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. St. Louis City scored +0.57 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,876 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the St. Louis City vs Toronto FC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from St. Louis City 3–1 Toronto FC. Explore more on the St. Louis City and Toronto FC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Toronto FC?
St. Louis City beat Toronto FC 3–1 (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in St. Louis City vs Toronto FC?
Carl Holse (41') for St. Louis City; Tomas Totland (54') for St. Louis City; Simon Becher (68') for St. Louis City; Theodor Corbeanu (90+7') for Toronto FC.
›Where can I watch St. Louis City vs Toronto FC highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from St. Louis City 3–1 Toronto FC are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between St. Louis City and Toronto FC?
St. Louis City and Toronto FC have met 1 time — 1 win for St. Louis City, 0 wins for Toronto FC and 0 draws.