Seattle Sounders vs Thu 24 Sept01:30 Scheduled
Real Salt Lake — Major League Soccer: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Match preview
Seattle Sounders host Real Salt Lake with both sides seeking a first win in weeks
Seattle Sounders welcome Real Salt Lake to Lumen Field in Major League Soccer's Regular Season matchday seven, a fixture between two clubs sitting just outside the play-off picture. Seattle occupy 23rd position with 29 points from 24 games, one place and one match behind opponents Real Salt Lake, who have 29 points from 25 outings in 22nd. Brian Schmetzer's side and Pablo Mastroeni's group both arrive short on recent victories.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Seattle have drawn each of their last five league matches, a run that includes results against Colorado Rapids, Los Angeles Galaxy, New York Red Bulls, Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, with scorelines ranging from a goalless stalemate against the Red Bulls to a 3-3 share of the points at Colorado. Real Salt Lake's form reads very differently, with four defeats in five outings against Vancouver Whitecaps, New York City FC, Houston Dynamo and Colorado Rapids, interrupted only by a 2-2 draw at home to Los Angeles FC.
With Seattle winless but unbeaten across five games and Real Salt Lake struggling for results on the road and at home alike, the two sides head into this matchday seven meeting occupying neighbouring places in the standings, separated by nothing more than a single point and one extra game played by the visitors.
Across their last 5 meetings, Seattle Sounders won 1, Real Salt Lake won 3, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Real Salt Lake 2–1 Seattle Sounders on 1 March 2026. Seattle Sounders's latest win in this sample was Seattle Sounders 1–0 Real Salt Lake on 12 October 2025.
Seattle have drawn all five of their most recent league matches, while Real Salt Lake have lost four of their last five.
League-wide scoring trends suggest matches in this competition have frequently produced multiple goals this season, adding context to two sides who have found the net in nearly every recent outing.
Seattle Sounders meet Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off is Thursday, 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC at Lumen Field.
Team pages: Seattle Sounders · Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer
Sirius · Why these numbers
Seattle Sounders 51% · Draw 28% · Real Salt Lake 21%
Seattle Sounders' rating edge, but the draw is in play — Seattle Sounders are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives Seattle Sounders the lean. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Seattle Sounders at 51%?
Seattle Sounders sit 53 points higher on our strength rating — 1565 to 1512. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.4% of 10,499 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,189 games vs 44.9% across all 100,559 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 51%?
Real Salt Lake hold 6 more possession points (50 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.3% across 5,603 games, from 43.9% when styles were level.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Real Salt Lake win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,179. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Seattle Sounders have shed 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,787 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Real Salt Lake have shed 78 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Major League Soccer fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
Quick answers
›What time does Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
Kick-off is Thursday, 24 September 2026, 01:30 UTC at Lumen Field, a Major League Soccer fixture (matchday 7).
›Where can I watch Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.
›What is the head-to-head record between Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake?
Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake have met 10 times — 2 wins for Seattle Sounders, 6 wins for Real Salt Lake and 2 draws.