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The 10 most valuable U21 players in the Bundesliga, ranked by our model
Our model prices every player's current output weekly — a model estimate, not a market price. These are the ten most valuable U21 players at Bundesliga clubs, in the window that sold the would-be No 1 to Real Madrid for €125m.
By the Oddsivio team·10 min read·Updated
12 August 2026 · Oddsivio — Football, explained.
Every week, Oddsivio recomputes an estimated value for thousands of players: a model estimate built from recent performance data — minutes, output, squad importance, age, level of competition. It is not a market price, not a transfer prediction, and not what a club would actually pay. Think of it as an honest, data-only answer to the question: how much footballing value is this player producing right now, for his age? The full recipe is public — all 87 signals, the age curve, the confidence tiers: how our player-value model works.
For this list we took every player at a Bundesliga club in our data and kept those aged 21 or younger on 12 August 2026 — born after 12 August 2004 — the same U21 definition you'll see on our own player pages. Then we checked every name against the real world, and the real world had been busy: the player who would have topped this list was sold six days before publish, for a fee more than double his model value, and three more of the top twelve left for England. All four are named below — values are a dated snapshot, taken 10 August, and we don't quietly re-cut a list. The complete list, refreshed weekly, is always at U21 player values in the Bundesliga. The hardest cut among the players actually staying: RB Leipzig's Andrija Maksimović, at €22.7m, one big season away from making this read very silly.
Counted down, #10 to #1 — every number from our live player pages, 2025/26 season, club and country combined.
Every number in this piece — value, confidence, squad importance, percentiles — comes from our live player pages, refreshed weekly. Browse every player's estimated value →
Methodology: players at Bundesliga clubs in our data, aged 21 or younger on 12 August 2026 (born after 12 August 2004) — the same U21 definition as our player-values browse filter — ranked by Oddsivio estimated value (point estimate) as of 10 August 2026. Values are model estimates from performance data, not market prices; confidence tiers reflect how much playing time the estimate rests on. Card stats are 2025/26, club and country combined. Excluded as no longer at Bundesliga clubs for 2026/27: Yan Diomande (RB Leipzig to Real Madrid, 6 August), Johan Manzambi (Freiburg to Aston Villa), Bazoumana Touré (Hoffenheim to Newcastle), Luka Vušković (Hamburg loan from Tottenham ended; sold to Brighton). Said El Mala remains listed at Köln while a reported Dortmund move is decided; either outcome keeps him in the Bundesliga. Ibrahim Maza's card lists Germany (birthplace in our data); he is an Algeria international. Values for Karl and Ouédraogo pre-date any effect of their current injuries. Ages as of 12 August 2026.
