Hull City vs Aston Villa — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 39′Hull City, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 63′Hull City, substitution:off
- 64′Hull City, substitution:off
- 67′Hull City, yellow card:Foul
- 71′Hull City, substitution:off
- 75′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 75′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 75′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 81′Hull City, substitution:off
- 82′Hull City, substitution:off
- 85′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 85′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- Full-time
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Match report
Hull City held to goalless draw by struggling Aston Villa
Hull City and Aston Villa played out a goalless draw at the MKM Stadium in a Premier League round 3 fixture, with neither side able to find a breakthrough despite a lively contest. The match ended level at half-time and stayed that way to the final whistle, with no goals or red cards to report.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Hull dominated territory throughout, holding 74 per cent of possession and forcing 13 shots to Villa's 11, yet it was the visitors who tested the goalkeeper more directly, registering four shots on target compared to Hull's single effort. Emery's side, having arrived on the back of five straight defeats, showed defensive resolve to keep the hosts at arm's length.
Hull picked up two yellow cards to none for Villa and conceded ten fouls against the visitors' five, reflecting a frustrated home performance that could not translate territorial control into clear openings. The result left Hull second in the table on seven points from three games, while Villa remained down in 18th with just a single point.
Zion Suzuki was the top-rated performer on the pitch, earning a 7.68 rating for a goalkeeping display that helped Villa keep a clean sheet away from home.
Hull's 74 per cent share of possession contrasted sharply with their inability to convert territorial dominance into shots on target, of which they managed only one.
Hull City and Aston Villa drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Hull City met Aston Villa in the Premier League (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 16:30 UTC at MKM Stadium. Referee: Michael Oliver.
Team pages: Hull City · Aston Villa · Premier League
Starting line-ups
Hull City (5-4-1)
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hull City 16%, the draw 22%, Aston Villa 62%. It finished Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa.
Aston Villa's rating gap outweighs Hull City's home ground — Aston Villa are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Aston Villa a clear lead. The draw at 22% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Aston Villa at 62%?
Aston Villa sit 343 points higher on our strength rating — 1601 to 1944. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,230 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Hull City's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 19–19–62.
Why only 62%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 62% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Hull City at 16%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,731. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Aston Villa average 5 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 343 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Hull City have gained 130 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,294 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hull City vs Aston Villa final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa. Explore more on the Hull City and Aston Villa team pages or the Premier League page.