Aston Villa vs 10.10.26 14:002 – 2Full Time
Brentford — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsAston Villa Football ClubYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow4 clips- 10′Brentford, goal:0–1
- 12′Aston Villa, goal:1–1assist
- 35′Brentford, yellow card:
- 45+3′Aston Villa, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 46′Brentford, substitution:off
- 52′Brentford, substitution:off
- 64′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 67′Brentford, substitution:off
- 67′Brentford, substitution:off
- 72′Aston Villa, yellow card:
- 75′Brentford, yellow card:
- 77′Aston Villa, goal:2–1assist
- 79′Brentford, goal:2–2assist
- 82′Brentford, yellow card:
- 84′Brentford, yellow card:
- 85′Brentford, substitution:off
- 86′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 86′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 90+5′Brentford, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 2
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Aston Villa
Brentford
Match report
Brentford claw back a point as Aston Villa draw 2-2 at Villa Park
Aston Villa and Brentford shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw at Villa Park in Matchweek 6 of the Premier League, with Brentford hauling themselves level two minutes after Villa had gone in front. A crowd of 36,636 watched a four-goal contest that was level at the interval and again at the finish.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Brentford struck first, Yehor Yarmolyuk scoring in the 10th minute to make it 1-0 to the visitors. Villa needed only two minutes to respond, Nicolas Jackson finishing from John McGinn's assist to bring the score back to 1-1, and that was how it stayed at half-time.
The decisive spell arrived late. McGinn put Villa 2-1 ahead in the 77th minute, converting a chance created by Johan Manzambi. Brentford replied almost immediately, Kristoffer Ajer netting in the 79th minute from Jaidon Anthony's assist to make it 2-2. Brentford are now unbeaten in 10 games, and their next fixture is not given in the match data.
Villa had the greater share of the ball, with 52 per cent possession, and out-shot Brentford by 20 to 14, with seven of those efforts on target against four. Brentford finished the match fourth, on 10 points, while Villa moved up to 14th with five.
Jackson, the top-rated performer on 7.54, equalised within two minutes of Brentford's opener. Manzambi (7.47) supplied an assist and McGinn (7.42) added a goal and an assist.
Brentford committed 24 fouls to Villa's seven, a gap that shaped the rhythm of a match decided by two goals in three minutes.
Aston Villa and Brentford drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
Aston Villa met Brentford in the Premier League (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Villa Park. Referee: Craig Pawson. Attendance: 36,636.
Team pages: Aston Villa · Brentford · Premier League
Key moments
- 10' Goal: Yehor Yarmolyuk — 0–1 · Watch Yehor Yarmolyuk's goal video (10')
- 12' Goal: Nicolas Jackson (assist: John McGinn) — 1–1 · Watch Nicolas Jackson's goal video (12')
- 77' Goal: John McGinn (assist: Johan Manzambi) — 2–1 · Watch John McGinn's goal video (77')
- 79' Goal: Kristoffer Ajer (assist: Jaidon Anthony) — 2–2 · Watch Kristoffer Ajer's goal video (79')
Starting line-ups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Brentford (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Aston Villa 48%, the draw 24%, Brentford 28%. It finished Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford.
Level sides, Brentford's hot finishing due to cool swings it Aston Villa's way — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Brentford's hot finishing due to cool gives Aston Villa the lean. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Aston Villa in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1844 to 1819. Sides this close won 45.8% of 13,702 home games (draw 27.7%, visitors 26.6%). Brentford scored +0.38 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.2% of 1,447 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 48%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Aston Villa's column. Across 11,252 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018. Aston Villa scored +0.31 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.7% of 1,465 games, vs 27.7% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,847. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Aston Villa come into this after a busy window — 11 arrivals, 11 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Doubtful: Nathan Collins and Mikkel Damsgaard, important players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Aston Villa vs Brentford final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Yehor Yarmolyuk's goal against Aston Villa (10').
- Watch Nicolas Jackson's goal against Brentford (12').
- Watch John McGinn's goal against Brentford (77').
- Watch Kristoffer Ajer's goal against Aston Villa (79').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford. Explore more on the Aston Villa and Brentford team pages or the Premier League page.