Chelsea vs 10.10.26 14:005 – 1Full Time
Bournemouth — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Chelsea vs Bournemouth — the facts
Chelsea beat Bournemouth 5–1 (half-time 2–0).
Chelsea met Bournemouth in the Premier League (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Stamford Bridge. Referee: Samuel Barrott. Attendance: 39,676.
Team pages: Chelsea · Bournemouth · Premier League
Key moments
- 2' Goal: Jordan Henderson (assist: Cole Palmer) — 1–0 · Watch Jordan Henderson's goal video (2')
- 3' Goal: Morgan Rogers (assist: Jordan Henderson) — 2–0 · Watch Morgan Rogers's goal video (3')
- 46' Goal: João Pedro (assist: Pedro Neto) — 3–0 · Watch João Pedro's goal video (46')
- 51' Goal: Evanilson — 3–1 · Watch Evanilson's goal video (51')
- 67' Goal: João Pedro (assist: Pep Chavarría) — 4–1 · Watch João Pedro's goal video (67')
- 70' Goal: Jordan Henderson — 5–1 · Watch Jordan Henderson's goal video (70')
Starting line-ups
Chelsea (3-4-3)
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Chelsea 38%, the draw 28%, Bournemouth 34%. It finished Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth.
Home ground outweighs Bournemouth's rating edge — Bournemouth are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground gives Chelsea the lean. The draw at 28% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Chelsea at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Bournemouth sit 48 points higher on our strength rating — 1771 to 1818. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 10,361 such games.
Why only 38%?
Because Bournemouth are the stronger side on our strength rating. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Chelsea's column. Across 11,252 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,847. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Chelsea come into this after a busy window — 12 arrivals, 17 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Out: Alex Scott, a star player, and Eli Kroupi and Justin Kluivert, rotation players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Chelsea vs Bournemouth final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Jordan Henderson's goal against Bournemouth (2').
- Watch Morgan Rogers's goal against Bournemouth (3').
- Watch João Pedro's goal against Bournemouth (46').
- Watch Evanilson's goal against Chelsea (51').
- Watch João Pedro's goal against Bournemouth (67').
- Watch Jordan Henderson's goal against Bournemouth (70').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth. Explore more on the Chelsea and Bournemouth team pages or the Premier League page.