Sunderland vs 10.10.26 14:000 – 2Full Time
Brighton — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Sunderland vs Brighton — the facts
Brighton won 2–0 away against Sunderland (half-time 0–0).
Sunderland met Brighton in the Premier League (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Stadium of Light. Referee: Thomas Bramall. Attendance: 47,196.
Team pages: Sunderland · Brighton · Premier League
Key moments
- 53' Goal: Maxim De Cuyper (assist: Pascal Groß) — 0–1 · Watch Maxim De Cuyper's goal video (53')
- 57' Red card: Pascal Struijk
- 90+3' Goal: Jaouen Hadjam (assist: Georginio Rutter) — 0–2 · Watch Jaouen Hadjam's goal video (90+3')
Starting line-ups
Sunderland (4-2-3-1)
- 22 Robin Roefs
- 17 Reinildo
- 4 Kevin Danso
- 20 Nordi Mukiele
- 32 Trai Hume
- 27 Noah Sadiki
- 34 Granit Xhaka
- 10 Nilson Angulo
- 28 Enzo Le Fée
- 12 Thomas Meunier
- 18 Wilson Isidor
Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sunderland 25%, the draw 25%, Brighton 50%. It finished Sunderland 0–2 Brighton.
Brighton's rating gap outweighs Sunderland's home ground — Brighton are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Brighton the lean. The draw at 25% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Brighton at 50%?
Brighton sit 172 points higher on our strength rating — 1683 to 1855. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,670 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Sunderland's column. Across 11,252 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 25–24–51.
Why only 50%?
Sunderland sit -0.45 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,497 such games where the class table expected 35.9%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,118. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Brighton have averaged 16 percentage points more possession than Sunderland in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Out: Brian Brobbey and Daniel Ballard, important players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sunderland vs Brighton final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Maxim De Cuyper's goal against Sunderland (53').
- Watch Jaouen Hadjam's goal against Sunderland (90+3').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sunderland 0–2 Brighton. Explore more on the Sunderland and Brighton team pages or the Premier League page.