Aston Villa vs Fulham — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsAston Villa Football ClubYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 13′Aston Villa, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 16′Aston Villa, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 30′Fulham, yellow card:
- 39′Aston Villa, goal:1–0assist
- 45+4′Fulham, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 64′Fulham, own goal:1–1Own goal
- 66′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 66′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 66′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 75′Fulham, substitution:off
- 76′Aston Villa, yellow card:
- 77′Fulham, yellow card:
- 79′Fulham, substitution:off
- 79′Fulham, substitution:off
- 79′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 87′Fulham, substitution:off
- 87′Aston Villa, substitution:off
- 87′Fulham, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
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Aston Villa
Fulham
Match report
Aston Villa and Fulham draw 1-1 at Villa Park after own goal
Aston Villa and Fulham shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Villa Park in Premier League Matchweek 9. Unai Emery's side led at the interval, but an own goal from their own goalkeeper, Zion Suzuki, midway through the second half pulled Alvaro Arbeloa's visitors level.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Villa took the lead in the 39th minute. Johan Manzambi supplied the pass and Nicolas Jackson finished to make it 1-0, a scoreline that held until half-time. Villa managed 16 shots to Fulham's 14 across the match, though only three of theirs were on target against five from the visitors.
Fulham, who had 55% of the possession to Villa's 45%, came out for the second half with more of the ball and levelled in the 64th minute. Suzuki put the ball into his own net to make it 1-1, and neither side found a winner in the remaining half-hour.
Villa went into the game 12th and finished the day ninth with 12 points, while Fulham rose from 16th to 15th on 9 points. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw a 18% chance. Villa travel to Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, and Fulham host Newcastle in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November.
Nicolas Jackson scored Villa's goal in the 39th minute, converting Johan Manzambi's assist, and earned a rating of 7.71, the highest of any player in the match.
Fulham held 55% of the possession against Villa's 45%, though the hosts had more shots overall.
Aston Villa and Fulham drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Aston Villa met Fulham in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 20:00 UTC at Villa Park. Referee: Samuel Barrott. Attendance: 34,649.
Team pages: Aston Villa · Fulham · Premier League
Key moments
- 39' Goal: Nicolas Jackson (assist: Johan Manzambi) — 1–0 · Watch Nicolas Jackson's goal video (39')
- 64' Goal (own goal): Zion Suzuki — 1–1 · Watch Zion Suzuki's goal video (64')
Starting line-ups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Fulham (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Aston Villa 66%, the draw 18%, Fulham 16%. It finished Aston Villa 1–1 Fulham.
Strength rating gives Aston Villa a clear lead — We give Aston Villa 66% mainly because our strength rating puts them 160 points higher, 1876 to 1716, though Fulham's recent scoring below their chances is a cold streak of the kind that has tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 18%, starting from the usual 20% for a gap this size and nudged down by that finishing streak.
Why Aston Villa at 66%?
Aston Villa sit 160 points higher on our strength rating — 1876 to 1716. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,073 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 65–18–17.
Why only 66%?
Fulham sit -0.65 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,970 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,247. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Fulham have averaged 14 percentage points more possession than Aston Villa in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Aston Villa come into this after a busy window — 11 arrivals, 11 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Aston Villa vs Fulham final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Aston Villa 1–1 Fulham. Explore more on the Aston Villa and Fulham team pages or the Premier League page.