Bournemouth vs Leeds — Premier League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsAFC BournemouthYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 14′Leeds, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 31′Bournemouth, goal:1–0assist
- 35′Leeds, yellow card:
- 45+2′Bournemouth, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 62′Leeds, yellow card:
- 65′Leeds, substitution:off
- 65′Leeds, substitution:off
- 65′Leeds, substitution:off
- 68′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 68′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 74′Bournemouth, yellow card:
- 76′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 84′Leeds, substitution:off
- 84′Leeds, substitution:off
- 88′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 88′Bournemouth, substitution:off
- 90+4′Bournemouth, goal:2–0assist
- Full-time2 – 0
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Bournemouth
Leeds
Match report
Bournemouth beat Leeds 2-0 to extend winning run to six
Bournemouth beat Leeds 2-0 at the Vitality Stadium in Matchweek 9 of the Premier League, a result that stretched their winning run to six games in a row. Evanilson broke the deadlock in the 31st minute and Amine Adli sealed the points deep into stoppage time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Evanilson's opener came from a Justin Kluivert assist, and Bournemouth took a 1-0 lead into the break. Leeds, who had the greater share of possession at 56 per cent to the hosts' 44, struggled to turn it into anything threatening, and the second half stayed tight until the closing moments.
Adli's goal arrived in the 90th minute plus four, set up by Eli Junior Kroupi, and ended any hope of a Leeds recovery. The win lifted Bournemouth from 13th to seventh in the table, with 12 points from nine games, one more than Leeds, who dropped from seventh to ninth.
Bournemouth travel to Sparta Praha in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November. Leeds return to Premier League action at home to Tottenham on Saturday 7 November.
Amine Adli scored the stoppage-time second and was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 7.46. Evanilson, who scored the opener, was rated 7.4.
Bournemouth put five of their 11 shots on target, while Leeds managed just one from their 10 attempts.
Bournemouth beat Leeds 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Bournemouth met Leeds in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC at Vitality Stadium. Referee: Michael Salisbury. Attendance: 12,041.
Team pages: Bournemouth · Leeds · Premier League
Key moments
- 31' Goal: Evanilson (assist: Justin Kluivert) — 1–0 · Watch Evanilson's goal video (31')
- 90+4' Goal: Amine Adli (assist: Eli Junior Kroupi) — 2–0 · Watch Amine Adli's goal video (90+4')
Starting line-ups
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Leeds (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bournemouth 57%, the draw 24%, Leeds 19%. It finished Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds.
Strength rating puts Bournemouth clearly ahead — We give Bournemouth 57% mainly because they sit 101 points higher on our strength rating, 1873 to 1772, though Leeds have scored less than their chances deserved and cold streaks like that have bounced back. The draw sits at 24%, just below the usual 25% for a gap this size, trimmed slightly by that finishing streak.
Why Bournemouth at 57%?
Bournemouth sit 101 points higher on our strength rating — 1873 to 1772. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,367 such games. Bournemouth hold 6 more possession points (54 to 48 in recent games) across a 101-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,322 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. The 300 most similar past games finished 52–25–23.
Why only 57%?
Leeds sit -0.41 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,970 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,247. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Alex Scott, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Leeds won 3 of the last 6 meetings with Bournemouth. The record is 3 wins for Leeds, 2 draws and 1 win for Bournemouth. These were 2 Championship games and 4 Premier League games played at both grounds between 16 September 2014 and 22 April 2026. Latest meeting: 22 April 2026 — Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds. In 6,096 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bournemouth vs Leeds final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Premier League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds. Explore more on the Bournemouth and Leeds team pages or the Premier League page.

