Sevilla vs 15.08.26 19:302 – 1Full Time
Rayo Vallecano — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Sevilla snatch late penalty win over Rayo Vallecano despite red card
Sevilla came from behind to beat Rayo Vallecano 2-1 in their opening La Liga fixture of the season, completing the turnaround deep into stoppage time despite finishing the match with ten men. Rayo had led since the fourth minute, when Álvaro García put the visitors ahead, and that scoreline held all the way to half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Sevilla levelled shortly after the break through a Jon Guridi penalty in the 52nd minute, setting up a tense finish. Kike Salas was then sent off for the hosts in the 88th minute, leaving Sevilla to see out the closing stages a man light. Yet in the seventh minute of added time, Peque Fernández converted another penalty to hand Sevilla a dramatic 2-1 victory.
Sevilla edged the underlying numbers despite their numerical disadvantage, generating an xG of 2.3 to Rayo's 2.0 and outshooting the visitors 13 to 6, with four shots on target against three. Possession was fairly even, with Rayo holding a slight edge at 51 percent, while Sevilla picked up the game's only red card among six yellow cards shown in total.
Goalkeeper Odysseas Vlachodimos was among Sevilla's top-rated performers with a 7.2 rating, helping the hosts hold firm after going down to ten men late on.
Sevilla managed 13 shots to Rayo Vallecano's six, reflecting their greater attacking threat despite playing the final minutes a man down.
Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
Sevilla met Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 19:30 UTC at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea.
Team pages: Sevilla · Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Álvaro García — 0–1 · Watch Álvaro García's goal video (4')
- 52' Goal (penalty): Jon Guridi — 1–1 · Watch Jon Guridi's goal video (52')
- 88' Red card: Kike Salas
- 90' Goal (penalty): Peque Fernández — 2–1 · Watch Peque Fernández's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Sevilla (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Odysseas Vlachodimos
- 17 Gabriel Suazo (c)
- 4 Kike Salas
- 12 Arouna Sangante
- 2 Juan Iglesias
- 27 N. Guillen
- 27 N. Guilen
- 6 Lucien Agoumé
- 19 Oso
- 18 Jon Guridi
- 30 M. Sierra
- 16 Isaac
Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sevilla 28%, the draw 34%, Rayo Vallecano 38%. It finished Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano.
Rayo Vallecano's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Rayo Vallecano are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball plus the early-season home fade on top give Rayo Vallecano the lean. The draw at 34% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Rayo Vallecano at 38%?
Rayo Vallecano sit 101 points higher on our strength rating — 1738 to 1839. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,044 such games. Rayo Vallecano hold 8 more possession points (53 to 45 in recent games) across a 101-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,587 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Sevilla's column. Across 10,563 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 33–33–34.
Why only 38%?
La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.2%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,080 games vs 44.9% across all 99,031 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Sevilla win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,080. The goals environment adds 3.6 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Rayo Vallecano have gained 77 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,153 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: Sevilla 3 wins, 3 draws, Rayo Vallecano 0 wins. Most recently Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano, 5 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5035 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Álvaro García's goal against Sevilla (4').
- Watch Jon Guridi's goal against Rayo Vallecano (52').
- Watch Peque Fernández's goal against Rayo Vallecano (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano. Explore more on the Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano team pages or the La Liga page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
›Who scored in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Álvaro García (4') for Rayo Vallecano; Jon Guridi (52') (penalty) for Sevilla; Peque Fernández (90') (penalty) for Sevilla.
›Where can I watch Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano?
Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano have met 10 times — 4 wins for Sevilla, 1 win for Rayo Vallecano and 5 draws.