Rayo Vallecano vs 05.09.26 16:303 – 2Full Time
Racing Santander — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Camello double sends Rayo Vallecano past ten-man finish over Racing Santander
Rayo Vallecano won a chaotic La Liga round four fixture 3-2 against Racing Santander at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, coming from behind twice before finishing the game with two players sent off. The result lifted Beñat San José's side to 12th in the table, level on points with their opponents in 11th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Racing struck inside four minutes through Sergio Canales, but Rayo responded quickly as Andrei Rațiu levelled in the 17th minute from a Sergio Camello assist. Pablo García restored the visitors' lead on 28 minutes, only for Camello to equalise again just before the break, latching onto a Unai López pass to make it 2-2 at half-time.
Camello completed his turnaround two minutes into the second half, converting another Unai López assist to put Rayo 3-2 ahead, a scoreline that held despite the hosts finishing the match with nine men after Fran Pérez was sent off in the 85th minute and Jorge de Frutos followed him down the tunnel in the 89th. Rayo held on through the closing stages to secure the win.
Rayo were the more direct side throughout, registering 16 shots to Racing's nine and forcing ten efforts on target compared with four for the visitors, despite finishing with less of the ball at 49 percent possession.
Sergio Camello scored twice and set up Rațiu's opener, driving Rayo's comeback with a rating of 9.54 that topped all performers on the pitch.
Rayo's ten shots on target to Racing's four underlined how much more clinical the hosts were in front of goal despite the late red cards.
Rayo Vallecano beat Racing Santander 3–2 (half-time 2–2).
Rayo Vallecano met Racing Santander in the La Liga (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 16:30 UTC at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez.
Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Racing Santander · La Liga
Key moments
- -5' Red card: Jorge de Frutos
- 4' Goal: Sergio Canales — 0–1 · Watch Sergio Canales's goal video (4')
- 17' Goal: Andrei Rațiu (assist: Sergio Camello) — 1–1 · Watch Andrei Rațiu's goal video (17')
- 28' Goal: Pablo García — 1–2 · Watch Pablo García's goal video (28')
- 43' Goal: Sergio Camello (assist: Unai López) — 2–2 · Watch Sergio Camello's goal video (43')
- 47' Goal: Sergio Camello (assist: Unai López) — 3–2 · Watch Sergio Camello's goal video (47')
- 85' Red card: Fran Pérez
Starting line-ups
Rayo Vallecano (4-3-3)
Racing Santander (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Rayo Vallecano 57%, the draw 26%, Racing Santander 17%. It finished Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander.
Rayo Vallecano's rating edge carries it — Rayo Vallecano are the stronger side on our strength rating, and La Liga home advantage on top gives Rayo Vallecano a clear lead. The draw at 26% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Rayo Vallecano at 57%?
Rayo Vallecano sit 108 points higher on our strength rating — 1774 to 1665. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,775 such games. La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.2%). La Liga homes won 46.7% of 6,112 games vs 44.9% across all 99,727 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 56–27–17.
Why only 57%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Rayo Vallecano's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,965. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Racing Santander scored +0.76 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,827 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last 10 league games at home (5 wins, 5 draws), a run going back to February 2026. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,570 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it, as it did for the season-long record. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Sergio Canales's goal against Rayo Vallecano (4').
- Watch Andrei Rațiu's goal against Racing Santander (17').
- Watch Pablo García's goal against Rayo Vallecano (28').
- Watch Sergio Camello's goal against Racing Santander (43').
- Watch Sergio Camello's goal against Racing Santander (47').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander. Explore more on the Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander team pages or the La Liga page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
Rayo Vallecano beat Racing Santander 3–2 (half-time 2–2).
›Who scored in Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
Sergio Canales (4') for Racing Santander; Andrei Rațiu (17') for Rayo Vallecano; Pablo García (28') for Racing Santander; Sergio Camello (43') for Rayo Vallecano; Sergio Camello (47') for Rayo Vallecano.
›Where can I watch Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander?
Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander have met 4 times — 3 wins for Rayo Vallecano, 0 wins for Racing Santander and 1 draw.