Real Betis vs Real Madrid — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow3 clips- 39′Real Betis, substitution:off
- 45+3′Real Madrid, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 54′Real Madrid, yellow card:Foul
- 60′Real Betis, substitution:off
- 61′Real Madrid, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Real Betis, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 64′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 64′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 69′Real Betis, substitution:off
- 69′Real Betis, substitution:off
- 77′Real Betis, substitution:off
- 81′Real Betis, goal:1–0
- 82′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 83′Real Betis, yellow card:Argument
- 88′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 89′Real Madrid, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 90+3′Real Betis, yellow card:Foul
- 90+4′Real Madrid, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 90+9′Real Madrid, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time1 – 0
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Real Betis
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Match report
Parrott strike gives Real Betis victory over Real Madrid
Real Betis defeated Real Madrid 1-0 at Estadio de La Cartuja in a La Liga Regular Season - 4 fixture, despite seeing far less of the ball than their visitors. The only goal of the game arrived late, with Troy Parrott netting in the 81st minute to break the deadlock and settle the contest in the home side's favour.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half finished goalless, with Madrid dominating territory but unable to find a breakthrough. Real Madrid held 58% possession and outshot their hosts 20 to 10, with eight shots on target compared to Betis's five, yet it was Betis who made the decisive intervention as the match wore on, converting one of their more limited opportunities through Parrott.
Betis also came out on the wrong side of the corners count, winning six to Madrid's ten, while the away side picked up more fouls and cards across a physical encounter that saw three yellow cards for the hosts and four for Madrid. The result lifted Betis to third in the table on nine points from four games, level on points with Madrid, who sit second.
Álvaro Vallés was the top-rated performer on the pitch with a rating of 8.42, marshalling the Betis defence to preserve the clean sheet, while goalscorer Troy Parrott also impressed with a 7.78 rating after netting the winner.
Real Madrid controlled 58% of possession but were unable to convert that dominance into a positive result away at Real Betis.
Real Betis beat Real Madrid 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Real Betis met Real Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Friday, 4 September 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio de La Cartuja. Referee: Alejandro Hernandez.
Team pages: Real Betis · Real Madrid · La Liga
Key moments
- 81' Goal: Troy Parrott — 1–0 · Watch Troy Parrott's goal video (81')
Starting line-ups
Real Betis (4-2-3-1)
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Real Betis 24%, the draw 24%, Real Madrid 52%. It finished Real Betis 1–0 Real Madrid.
Real Madrid's rating gap outweighs Real Betis' home ground — Real Madrid are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Real Madrid the lean. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Real Madrid at 52%?
Real Madrid sit 221 points higher on our strength rating — 1922 to 2144. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 51.9% of 6,064 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Real Betis's column. Across 10,893 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 26–23–51.
Why only 52%?
La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.2%). La Liga homes won 46.7% of 6,111 games vs 44.9% across all 99,703 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,064. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Real Madrid average 9 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 221 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Real Betis scored +0.44 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,823 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Real Betis vs Real Madrid final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Real Betis 1–0 Real Madrid. Explore more on the Real Betis and Real Madrid team pages or the La Liga page.