Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow1 clip- -5′Osasuna, yellow card:Argument
- 16′Osasuna, goal:1–0
- 21′Osasuna, yellow card:Foul
- 24′Rayo Vallecano, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 50′Rayo Vallecano, goal:1–1assist
- 56′Osasuna, substitution:off
- 56′Osasuna, substitution:off
- 60′Rayo Vallecano, substitution:off
- 66′Osasuna, yellow card:Foul
- 69′Osasuna, substitution:off
- 69′Osasuna, substitution:off
- 71′Rayo Vallecano, substitution:off
- 71′Rayo Vallecano, substitution:off
- 73′Osasuna, substitution:off
- 87′Rayo Vallecano, substitution:off
- 87′Rayo Vallecano, substitution:off
- 90+6′Rayo Vallecano, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time1 – 1
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Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Match report
Camello earns Rayo a point as Osasuna halt losing run
Osasuna stopped a run of three straight La Liga defeats, but a 1-1 draw at El Sadar left them without the restorative win they wanted before the break. Ante Budimir's 16th-minute finish gave Luis Miguel Ramis's side the lead; Sergio Camello answered five minutes after half-time for Rayo Vallecano.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data and the sources linked below.
For Rayo, the equaliser carried a little more weight than a routine point. All seven of their previous league points had come in games staged at Butarque, and they had yet to collect one away, so Camello's response from Adrià Pedrosa's pass delivered their first point on the road this season.
For Osasuna, the draw ended the losing sequence but did not erase its warning signs. Rayo had almost 63% possession and took 19 shots to Osasuna's nine, yet put only two on target compared with the hosts' three: pressure that produced few efforts on target, but still enough to recover from Budimir's opener. Ramis had asked for closer defensive coordination after 11 goals conceded across three defeats, so this looked more like a pause in the slide than a complete reset.
Report sources
Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Osasuna met Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 12:00 UTC at Estadio El Sadar. Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid.
Team pages: Osasuna · Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
Key moments
- 16' Goal: Ante Budimir — 1–0 · Watch Ante Budimir's goal video (16')
- 50' Goal: Sergio Camello (assist: Adrià Pedrosa) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Osasuna (5-4-1)
- 13 Aitor Fernández
- 15 Diego Rico
- 35 U. Santos
- 24 Alejandro Catena
- 29 Asier Osambela
- 27 Íñigo Arguibide
- 11 Kike Barja (c)
- 8 Iker Muñoz
- 7 Jon Moncayola
- 14 Rubén García
- 17 Ante Budimir
Rayo Vallecano (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Osasuna 45%, the draw 27%, Rayo Vallecano 28%. It finished Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and La Liga home advantage gives Osasuna the lean. The draw at 27% is what level sides usually produce.
Why Osasuna in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1756 to 1785. Sides this close won 43.1% of 16,010 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.2%). La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.4% vs 30.2%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,140 games vs 44.9% across all 100,303 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 45%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 27% and Rayo Vallecano at 28%.
Why the draw at 27%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,116.
What did we measure but not count?
Osasuna have shed 84 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,765 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Rayo Vallecano are 1 game into a new manager (Beñat San José), appointed 3 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano. Explore more on the Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano team pages or the La Liga page.