HighlightsLALIGA EA SPORTSYouTubeMatch Events
- 10′Elche, yellow card:
- 23′Elche, penalty goal:0–1Penalty
- 30′Elche, yellow card:
- 30′Elche, yellow card:
- 33′Elche, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 35′Rayo Vallecano, yellow card:
- 36′Elche, penalty goal:0–2Penalty
- 39′Rayo Vallecano, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- Half-time0 – 2
- 46′Elche, substitution:off
- 46′Rayo Vallecano, substitution:off
- 46′Rayo Vallecano, substitution:off
- 54′Rayo Vallecano, yellow card:
- 60′Rayo Vallecano, substitution:off
- 60′Rayo Vallecano, substitution:off
- 61′Elche, substitution:off
- 68′Elche, goal:0–3assist
- 72′Elche, substitution:off
- 72′Elche, substitution:off
- 76′Rayo Vallecano, substitution:off
- 81′Rayo Vallecano, yellow card:
- 83′Elche, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 3
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Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Match report
Elche beat Rayo Vallecano 3-0 with two first-half penalties
Elche won 3-0 at Rayo Vallecano on matchday 10 of La Liga, with two penalties in the opening 36 minutes putting them in command at the Estadio de Vallecas. Martín Anselmi's side had arrived in 18th place on seven points from nine games and left in 12th with 10 points from 10.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Federico Redondo converted from the spot in the 23rd minute to open the scoring, and Fer Niño added a second penalty in the 36th to make it 2-0 at the interval. Rayo, who had gone into the game in 14th on nine points, had no reply before the break.
Germán Valera sealed the result in the 68th minute, finishing a move created by Facundo Buonanotte. Rayo held more of the ball, with 57 per cent possession to 43, and had 18 shots to 16, but Elche put nine on target to Rayo's five. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Elche a 22% chance of winning. Both sides are next in action on Tuesday in the Copa del Rey, Rayo away to Recreativo Huelva and Elche away to Pinatar.
Matías Dituro earned the highest rating of any player in the match, 8.01, for his goalkeeping in the clean sheet. Roy Revivo (7.76) and Thomas Lemar (7.71) also rated highly for Elche.
Elche hit the target with nine of their 16 shots, while Rayo managed five from 18 despite seeing more of the ball.
Elche won 3–0 away against Rayo Vallecano (half-time 0–2).
Rayo Vallecano met Elche in the La Liga (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at Estadio de Vallecas. Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa. Attendance: 8,405.
Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Elche · La Liga
Key moments
- 23' Goal (penalty): Federico Redondo — 0–1
- 36' Goal (penalty): Fer Niño — 0–2
- 68' Goal: Germán Valera (assist: Facundo Buonanotte) — 0–3
Starting line-ups
Rayo Vallecano (4-3-3)
Elche (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Rayo Vallecano 54%, the draw 24%, Elche 22%. It finished Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche.
Stronger rating and home ground put Rayo Vallecano ahead — We give Rayo Vallecano 54% mainly because our strength rating has them a shade stronger, 1693 to 1629, and home advantage running strong across La Liga adds a little more. The draw starts near 27%, the usual rate for a gap this size, but both sides' recent games averaging 3.1 goals pull it down to 24%.
Why Rayo Vallecano at 54%?
Rayo Vallecano sit 64 points higher on our strength rating — 1693 to 1629. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,069 such games. La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,170 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 54%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 54% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Elche at 22%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last 12 home La Liga games: 7 wins and 5 draws. The run began on 15 February 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 24 January 2026 — Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna. Latest home league result: 15 September 2026 — Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol. Across 16,094 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. Elche have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Rayo Vallecano vs Elche final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche. Explore more on the Rayo Vallecano and Elche team pages or the La Liga page.