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play_arrow2 clips- 39′Alaves, yellow card:
- 44′Malaga, goal:0–1assist
- 45′Malaga, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Alaves, substitution:off
- 55′Alaves, substitution:off
- 55′Alaves, substitution:off
- 66′Alaves, substitution:off
- 67′Alaves, yellow card:
- 68′Malaga, substitution:off
- 68′Malaga, substitution:off
- 75′Alaves, substitution:off
- 77′Malaga, substitution:off
- 77′Malaga, substitution:off
- 84′Malaga, yellow card:
- 87′Malaga, substitution:off
- 89′Alaves, goal:1–1
- Full-time1 – 1
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Alaves
Malaga
Match report
Alaves rescue a point against Malaga with late Mañas equaliser
Alaves and Malaga drew 1-1 at the Estadio de Mendizorroza in La Liga on Matchday 10, with Aitor Mañas heading the hosts level in the 89th minute after a first half in which Malaga had made their one chance count.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Malaga took the lead a minute before the break. Ramón Enríquez supplied the pass and Adrián Niño finished, sending the visitors in at half-time 1-0 ahead despite being heavily outshot. The second half followed a similar pattern, with Alaves pressing for an equaliser and Malaga holding on at the back.
The breakthrough finally came at 89 minutes, when Mañas scored to make it 1-1 and deny Malaga what would have been a first win of the season. The point leaves Alaves seventh on 12 points and Malaga 20th on 5, with Alaves now without a win in six games and Malaga without a win in 10.
Both sides turn to the Copa del Rey next. Malaga travel to Alcazar on Tuesday, and Alaves are away to Anaitasuna on Wednesday.
Niño scored Malaga's opener, finishing from Enríquez's assist, and earned a rating of 7.5. Carlos Puga was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 7.58 for Malaga, while Mañas, rated 7.48, scored the late equaliser for Alaves.
Alaves had 18 shots to Malaga's 7, yet needed until the 89th minute to find a way past them.
Alaves and Malaga drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Alaves met Malaga in the La Liga (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio de Mendizorroza. Referee: Carlos Muniz Munoz. Attendance: 16,099.
Key moments
- 44' Goal: Adrián Niño (assist: Ramón Enríquez) — 0–1 · Watch Adrián Niño's goal video (44')
- 89' Goal: Aitor Mañas — 1–1 · Watch Aitor Mañas's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Alaves (5-3-2)
Malaga (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Alaves 53%, the draw 25%, Malaga 22%. It finished Alaves 1–1 Malaga.
Strength rating gives Alaves a slight lean — We give Alaves 53% mainly because our strength rating puts them 105 points higher, 1655 to 1550, though Malaga's greater share of the ball pulls some of that back. The draw sits at 25%, the usual rate for a gap this size, with Malaga's finishing streak lowering it slightly and typical scoring levels nudging it back up.
Why Alaves at 53%?
Alaves sit 105 points higher on our strength rating — 1655 to 1550. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,323 such games. La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,169 games vs 44.6% across all 107,838 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 53–29–18.
Why only 53%?
Malaga hold 8 more possession points (51 to 43 in recent games) across a 105-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,290 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. Malaga sit -0.32 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,927 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,291. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw. The goals environment adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Malaga are newly promoted — game 10 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. Out: Diego Murillo and Joaquín Muñoz, important players, and Pablo Martínez, on a provisional rating. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Alaves vs Malaga final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Alaves 1–1 Malaga. Explore more on the Alaves and Malaga team pages or the La Liga page.