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play_arrow3 clips- 30′Barcelona, substitution:off
- 41′Real Madrid, goal:0–1
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Real Madrid, yellow card:
- 61′Barcelona, goal:1–1assist
- 62′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 74′Barcelona, substitution:off
- 80′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 84′Barcelona, yellow card:
- 85′Barcelona, substitution:off
- 86′Barcelona, substitution:off
- 87′Real Madrid, goal:1–2assist
- 90+2′Real Madrid, yellow card:
- 90+4′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 90+4′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 90+4′Real Madrid, yellow card:
- 90+6′Barcelona, yellow card:
- 90+6′Barcelona, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 2
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Barcelona
Real Madrid
Match report
Mbappé double lifts Real Madrid past Barcelona at Spotify Camp Nou
Real Madrid won 2-1 at Barcelona in La Liga on Matchday 10, with Kylian Mbappé scoring both of their goals, the second three minutes from time. The result ended Barcelona's unbeaten start to the league season: they had gone nine league games without defeat before this one.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The visitors took the lead in the 41st minute when Mbappé scored to make it 1-0 at the break. Barcelona levelled in the 61st minute, Raphinha finishing from a Pedri assist to make it 1-1 and give the home side a push towards a winner.
That winner went to Real Madrid. In the 87th minute Mbappé scored again, set up by Eduardo Camavinga, and the 2-1 lead held to the final whistle. Barcelona had 62% of the possession and 18 shots to 10, but Real Madrid also had five shots on target to Barcelona's six.
The result cut Barcelona's lead at the top to three points, with Real Madrid third on 24 points after their fifth consecutive win. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Real Madrid a 22% chance of winning. Barcelona host Alaves on Saturday in La Liga, and Real Madrid travel to Racing Santander on Sunday in the same competition.
Mbappé scored twice, in the 41st and 87th minutes, and was the top-rated performer on the pitch with 8.18. Raphinha, who scored Barcelona's equaliser, rated 7.61.
Barcelona had 62% of the possession but still lost, as Real Madrid created the better chances.
Real Madrid won 2–1 away against Barcelona (half-time 0–1).
Barcelona met Real Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 20:00 UTC at Spotify Camp Nou. Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera. Attendance: 62,065.
Team pages: Barcelona · Real Madrid · La Liga
Key moments
- 41' Goal: Kylian Mbappé — 0–1 · Watch Kylian Mbappé's goal video (41')
- 61' Goal: Raphinha (assist: Pedri) — 1–1 · Watch Raphinha's goal video (61')
- 87' Goal: Kylian Mbappé (assist: Eduardo Camavinga) — 1–2 · Watch Kylian Mbappé's goal video (87')
Starting line-ups
Barcelona (4-3-3)
- 1 Joan García
- 2 João Cancelo
- 18 Gerard Martín
- 5 Pau Cubarsí
- 12 X. Espart
- 8 Pedri
- 16 Rodri
- 7 Fermín
- 17 Anthony Gordon
- 11 Raphinha
- 10 Lamine Yamal
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Barcelona 56%, the draw 22%, Real Madrid 22%. It finished Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid.
Barcelona's stronger rating drives a clear lead — We give Barcelona 56% mainly because our strength rating puts them 79 points higher, 2043 to 1964, though their own scoring running ahead of their chances pulls slightly the other way. The draw sits at 22%, down from a usual 27% for a gap this size, because both teams' recent games average 4.8 goals and a finishing streak lowers it too.
Why Barcelona at 56%?
Barcelona sit 79 points higher on our strength rating — 2043 to 1964. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,082 such games. Real Madrid scored +0.31 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.5% of 1,631 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally. La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,174 games vs 44.6% across all 107,949 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 56%?
Barcelona scored +0.62 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.7% of 1,654 games, vs 27.8% against normal finishing.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 4.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,416. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Barcelona have averaged 19 percentage points more possession than Real Madrid in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 23 home La Liga games: 23 wins and 0 draws. The run began on 14 September 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 18 May 2025 — Barcelona 2–3 Villarreal. Latest home league result: 10 October 2026 — Barcelona 3–0 Getafe. Across 16,107 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Barcelona vs Real Madrid final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Kylian Mbappé's goal against Barcelona (41').
- Watch Raphinha's goal against Real Madrid (61').
- Watch Kylian Mbappé's goal against Barcelona (87').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid. Explore more on the Barcelona and Real Madrid team pages or the La Liga page.