Lille vs 13.09.26 13:002 – 0Full Time
Estac Troyes — Ligue 1: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Lille go top with late Mbappé strike to see off Troyes
Lille moved to the summit of Ligue 1 with a 2-0 win over Estac Troyes at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy in matchday four of the French top flight. Tiago Santos put the hosts ahead in the 18th minute, and the lead held firm through to half-time before Ethan Mbappé sealed the points deep into stoppage time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Santos opened the scoring after 18 minutes, finishing off an assist from Dilane Bakwa to give Davide Ancelotti's side the platform to control the contest. Troyes, managed by S. Dumont, were unable to find a way back into the game as Lille dominated possession and territory for long spells without adding to their tally before the interval.
The result was settled beyond doubt in the third minute of added time at the end, when Mbappé converted a chance created by Maurits Kjærgaard to make it 2-0. The win lifted Lille to first place in the table on ten points from four matches, while Troyes remained tenth with four points.
Mbappé capped the victory with the 90+3 goal that put the result beyond reach, a display good enough to earn him the highest rating on the pitch at 7.78. Santos was not far behind, his opener and a 7.74 rating underlining his influence on the game.
Lille's dominance was reflected in their 63% share of possession against Troyes' 37%.
Lille beat Estac Troyes 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Lille met Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Sunday, 13 September 2026, 13:00 UTC at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy. Referee: Romain Lissorgue.
Team pages: Lille · Estac Troyes · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 18' Goal: Tiago Santos (assist: Dilane Bakwa) — 1–0 · Watch Tiago Santos's goal video (18')
- 90+3' Goal: Ethan Mbappé (assist: Maurits Kjærgaard) — 2–0 · Watch Ethan Mbappé's goal video (90+3')
Starting line-ups
Lille (4-2-3-1)
Estac Troyes (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lille 65%, the draw 21%, Estac Troyes 14%. It finished Lille 2–0 Estac Troyes.
Lille's rating gap decides it — Lille are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Lille's 65%. The draw at 21% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Lille at 65%?
Lille sit 203 points higher on our strength rating — 1886 to 1683. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,996 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 64–20–16.
Why only 65%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Lille's column. Across 11,115 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.6% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,076. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Estac Troyes are newly promoted — game 4 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. Estac Troyes are missing 2 regular starters — Merwan Ifnaoui, Ismaël Boura — about 16% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lille vs Estac Troyes final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Tiago Santos's goal against Estac Troyes (18').
- Watch Ethan Mbappé's goal against Estac Troyes (90+3').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lille 2–0 Estac Troyes. Explore more on the Lille and Estac Troyes team pages or the Ligue 1 page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Lille vs Estac Troyes?
Lille beat Estac Troyes 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in Lille vs Estac Troyes?
Tiago Santos (18') for Lille; Ethan Mbappé (90+3') for Lille.
›Where can I watch Lille vs Estac Troyes highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Lille 2–0 Estac Troyes are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Estac Troyes?
Lille and Estac Troyes have met 10 times — 2 wins for Lille, 3 wins for Estac Troyes and 5 draws.