Estac Troyes vs 17.10.26 18:451 – 3Full Time
Lens — Ligue 1: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLigue 1 McDonald’sYouTubeMatch Events
- 13′Lens, own goal:0–1Own goal
- 26′Estac Troyes, goal:1–1assist
- 45+2′Lens, goal:1–2assist
- Half-time1 – 2
- 55′Lens, goal:1–3assist
- 60′Lens, substitution:off
- 60′Estac Troyes, substitution:off
- 64′Estac Troyes, substitution:off
- 67′Lens, substitution:off
- 67′Lens, substitution:off
- 67′Lens, substitution:off
- 72′Lens, substitution:off
- 76′Estac Troyes, yellow card:
- 76′Estac Troyes, yellow card:
- 77′Lens, yellow card:
- 79′Estac Troyes, substitution:off
- 79′Estac Troyes, substitution:off
- 82′Lens, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 3
Lineups
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Estac Troyes
Lens
Match report
Lens come from behind to beat Estac Troyes 3-1 in Ligue 1
Lens won 3-1 away to Estac Troyes at Stade de l'Aube in Ligue 1 on Matchday 7, extending the hosts' losing run to five games in a row. Estac Troyes were level at half-time but conceded twice more either side of the break, and the visitors were comfortable winners by the end.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The opening goal arrived in the 13th minute and was an own goal: Adrien-Mehdi Monfray turned the ball into his own net from a Jean-Clair Todibo assist, putting Lens 1-0 up. Troyes responded in the 26th minute, when Timothé Nkada finished from Mouhamed Diop's pass to make it 1-1.
Lens regained the lead in first-half stoppage time. Odsonne Édouard scored in the 45+2 minute, set up by Florian Thauvin, to make it 2-1 at the interval. Ten minutes after the restart Thauvin turned scorer's helper again, this time teeing up Ruben Aguilar in the 55th minute for a 3-1 lead that Troyes never threatened to overturn.
Lens's result lifted them from 11th to seventh, on 10 points, while Troyes stayed 17th on four. Lens travel to Club Brugge KV in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, while Troyes go to Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Saturday.
Florian Thauvin provided the assists for both Édouard's and Aguilar's goals and carried the match's highest rating, 8.52. Aguilar, who also scored, was rated 7.6.
Lens had 59% of the possession, against 41% for Estac Troyes.
Lens won 3–1 away against Estac Troyes (half-time 1–2).
Estac Troyes met Lens in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stade de l'Aube. Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj. Attendance: 15,800.
Team pages: Estac Troyes · Lens · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 13' Goal (own goal): Adrien Monfray (assist: Jean-Clair Todibo) — 0–1
- 26' Goal: Timothé Nkada (assist: Mouhamed Diop) — 1–1
- 45+2' Goal: Odsonne Édouard (assist: Florian Thauvin) — 1–2
- 55' Goal: Ruben Aguilar (assist: Florian Thauvin) — 1–3
Starting line-ups
Estac Troyes (4-2-3-1)
Lens (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Estac Troyes 22%, the draw 20%, Lens 58%. It finished Estac Troyes 1–3 Lens.
Lens lead on our strength rating — We give Lens 58% mainly because they sit 238 points higher on our strength rating, 1805 to 1567, which outweighs the usual home advantage Estac Troyes start with. The draw sits at 20%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both sides' own recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Lens at 58%?
Lens sit 238 points higher on our strength rating — 1805 to 1567. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,689 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–19–60.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Estac Troyes at 22%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198.
What did we measure but not count?
Lens have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than Estac Troyes in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Estac Troyes are newly promoted — game 7 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Estac Troyes vs Lens final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Estac Troyes 1–3 Lens. Explore more on the Estac Troyes and Lens team pages or the Ligue 1 page.