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Vardar Skopje vs 07.07.26 17:000 – 2Full Time
KuPS — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
KuPS won 2–0 away against Vardar Skopje (half-time 0–1).
Vardar Skopje met KuPS in the UEFA Champions League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 7 July 2026, 17:00 UTC at Toše Proeski Arena. Referee: Kadir Saglam.
Team pages: Vardar Skopje · KuPS · UEFA Champions League
Before kick-off Sirius gave Vardar Skopje 35%, the draw 31%, KuPS 34%. It finished Vardar Skopje 0–2 KuPS.
Home ground outweighs KuPS' rating edge — KuPS are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground gives Vardar Skopje the lean. The draw at 31% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Home ground, against the rating. KuPS sit 88 points higher on our strength rating — 1418 to 1507. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.2% of 10,595 such games.
Because KuPS are the stronger side on our strength rating. KuPS hold 8 more possession points (50 to 42 in recent games) across a 88-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,535 such games where the class table expected 41.5%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,350. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.3 points to the draw.
The listed venue doesn't match Vardar Skopje's usual ground — often just a stadium rename, sometimes a true relocation. We only remove the home edge for finals; ordinary games our detector calls neutral still saw 44.6% home wins across 26,567 of them. Vardar Skopje have shed 64 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,022 such games vs 33.8% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Vardar Skopje vs KuPS final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Vardar Skopje 0–2 KuPS. Explore more on the Vardar Skopje and KuPS team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.
KuPS won 2–0 away against Vardar Skopje (half-time 0–1).
B. Magassa (45') for KuPS; Bob Armah (49') for KuPS.
Goal highlights and video clips from Vardar Skopje 0–2 KuPS are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Vardar Skopje and KuPS have met 1 time — 1 win for Vardar Skopje, 0 wins for KuPS and 0 draws.