Twente vs ADO Den Haag — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsESPN NLYouTubeMatch Events
- 33′ADO Den Haag, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 50′ADO Den Haag, yellow card:Foul
- 55′Twente, substitution:off
- 61′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 61′Twente, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- 67′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 67′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 69′Twente, substitution:off
- 69′Twente, substitution:off
- 74′Twente, goal:2–0assist
- 75′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 76′Twente, substitution:off
- 76′Twente, substitution:off
- 79′Twente, yellow card:Foul
- 87′ADO Den Haag, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time2 – 0
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Twente
ADO Den Haag
Match report
Twente vs ADO Den Haag — the facts
Twente beat ADO Den Haag 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
Twente met ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 14:30 UTC at De Grolsch Veste. Referee: Jannick van der Laan.
Team pages: Twente · ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 61' Goal (penalty): Wout Weghorst — 1–0
- 74' Goal: Robin Pröpper (assist: Daouda Weidmann) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Twente (4-2-3-1)
ADO Den Haag (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Twente 79%, the draw 13%, ADO Den Haag 8%. It finished Twente 2–0 ADO Den Haag.
Twente's rating gap decides it — Twente are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Twente's 79%. The draw at 13% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Twente at 79%?
Twente sit 386 points higher on our strength rating — 1781 to 1395. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,121 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 81–12–7.
Why not higher?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Twente's column. Across 11,058 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 13%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 12.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.9 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,178. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Twente average 8 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 386 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. ADO Den Haag are newly promoted — game 6 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Twente vs ADO Den Haag final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Twente 2–0 ADO Den Haag. Explore more on the Twente and ADO Den Haag team pages or the Eredivisie page.