Cambuur vs 12.09.26 19:003 – 0Full Time
NEC Nijmegen — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Hamache double inspires Cambuur to rout NEC Nijmegen
Cambuur ended a miserable run of results with a 3-0 victory over NEC Nijmegen in an Eredivisie matchday six fixture at the Kooi Stadion. The result lifted the home side off the bottom of the form charts, even if it barely moved them in the table given the gulf in points before kick-off.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ilyes Hamache opened the scoring in the 21st minute, converting an assist from Billy van Duijl to give Cambuur a lead they would not relinquish. He doubled his tally nine minutes into the second half, finishing again to make it 2-0 and put the visitors firmly on the back foot. Iwan Henstra completed the scoring deep into stoppage time, turning home a Jamal Amofa assist in the 90+2nd minute.
Despite seeing far less of the ball, with NEC holding 63 percent possession to Cambuur's 37, the home side were the more clinical outfit, managing 16 shots to NEC's 10 and putting eight on target against just one from their opponents. NEC's territorial dominance never translated into meaningful pressure on the scoreboard.
Hamache scored twice and was rated 9.77, the outstanding figure on the pitch as Cambuur ran out comfortable winners.
Cambuur managed eight shots on target from just 16 attempts, a conversion rate that proved decisive despite NEC's dominance of possession.
Cambuur beat NEC Nijmegen 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Cambuur met NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC at Kooi Stadion. Referee: Ingmar Oostrom.
Team pages: Cambuur · NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 21' Goal: Ilyes Hamache (assist: Billy van Duijl) — 1–0
- 54' Goal: Ilyes Hamache — 2–0
- 90' Goal: Iwan Henstra (assist: Jamal Amofa) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Cambuur (4-2-3-1)
NEC Nijmegen (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cambuur 19%, the draw 21%, NEC Nijmegen 60%. It finished Cambuur 3–0 NEC Nijmegen.
NEC Nijmegen's rating gap outweighs Cambuur's home ground — NEC Nijmegen are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives NEC Nijmegen a clear lead. The draw at 21% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why NEC Nijmegen at 60%?
NEC Nijmegen sit 301 points higher on our strength rating — 1361 to 1662. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,243 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Cambuur's column. Across 11,058 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 23–21–56.
Why only 60%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 60% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and Cambuur at 19%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,178. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.8 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Cambuur are newly promoted — game 6 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. NEC Nijmegen come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals, 14 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen team pages or the Eredivisie page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?
Cambuur beat NEC Nijmegen 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ilyes Hamache (21') for Cambuur; Ilyes Hamache (54') for Cambuur; Iwan Henstra (90') for Cambuur.
›Where can I watch Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen highlights?
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
›What is the head-to-head record between Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen?
Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen have met 7 times — 2 wins for Cambuur, 4 wins for NEC Nijmegen and 1 draw.