Charleroi vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 35′Charleroi, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 62′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 65′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 66′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 74′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 74′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 76′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 76′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 77′Charleroi, goal:2–0assist
- 88′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 88′Charleroi, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
Match report
Charleroi go top after comfortable win over KV Mechelen
Charleroi moved to the summit of the Jupiler Pro League with a 2-0 victory over KV Mechelen at the Stade du Pays de Charleroi, a result that continued the home side's strong start to the Regular Season phase. The win came in matchday 3 and left Mario Kohnen's side unbeaten in three of their last four outings.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Aiham Ousou opened the scoring in the 35th minute, converting a chance created by Patrick Pflücke to send Charleroi in ahead at the break. The visitors could not find a way back into the contest, and Kévin Van Den Kerkhof settled matters in the 77th minute, finishing off an assist from Antoine Colassin to make it 2-0 and secure the points.
Charleroi dominated proceedings throughout, controlling 60 percent of possession and registering 12 shots to Mechelen's five, with four efforts on target compared to none for the away side. Mechelen, who remain 14th in the table after collecting just one point from three matches, struggled to create anything of note and committed 15 fouls as they chased the game.
Kévin Van Den Kerkhof scored the decisive second goal and was rated the top performer on the pitch with a 9.5 mark, while goalscorer Aiham Ousou also impressed with an 8.6 rating.
Charleroi's dominance was underlined by an xG of 1.44 against Mechelen's meagre 0.23, reflecting the gulf in clear-cut chances created.
Charleroi beat KV Mechelen 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Charleroi met KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 16:15 UTC at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Referee: Jan Boterberg.
Team pages: Charleroi · KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 35' Goal: Aiham Ousou (assist: Patrick Pflücke) — 1–0
- 77' Goal: Kévin Van Den Kerkhof (assist: Antoine Colassin) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Charleroi (4-2-3-1)
KV Mechelen (3-4-1-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Charleroi 52%, the draw 28%, KV Mechelen 20%. It finished Charleroi 2–0 KV Mechelen.
Charleroi's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Charleroi are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Charleroi the lean. The draw at 28% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Charleroi at 52%?
Charleroi sit 72 points higher on our strength rating — 1631 to 1559. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,369 such games. Charleroi hold 5 more possession points (52 to 47 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,171 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 52%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Charleroi's column. Across 10,641 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the KV Mechelen win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,834. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Charleroi's last five: L-D-W-W-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2186 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3996 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Charleroi vs KV Mechelen final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Charleroi and KV Mechelen team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.