Match Events
- 46′Gent, goal:1–0
- 57′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 58′OH Leuven, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Gent, substitution:off
- 64′Gent, substitution:off
- 64′Gent, substitution:off
- 65′Gent, yellow card:Foul
- 67′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 67′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 74′Gent, substitution:off
- 76′OH Leuven, yellow card:Argument
- 77′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 77′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 88′Gent, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Gent
OH Leuven
Match report
Gent edge OH Leuven thanks to early second-half strike
Gent secured a 1-0 win over OH Leuven at the Planet Group Arena in matchday three of the Jupiler Pro League. The only goal came moments after the restart, with the sides level at the interval before the breakthrough arrived.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Tiago Araújo settled the contest in the 46th minute, turning the score to 1-0 within seconds of the second half beginning. Gent held that advantage for the remainder of the match despite conceding more of the ball, seeing out the win without further goals from either side.
Gent dominated territorially in terms of chances created, firing 15 shots to Leuven's eight, though only one shot from each side actually found the target. The corner count told a similarly lopsided story, with Gent forcing ten to Leuven's solitary effort, underlining their control even as Leuven held more possession.
Araújo scored the decisive goal and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 7.84.
Gent won ten corners to Leuven's single one, a stark reflection of their attacking pressure despite having less of the ball.
Gent beat OH Leuven 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Gent met OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Thursday, 3 September 2026, 18:30 UTC at Planet Group Arena. Referee: Michiel Allaerts.
Team pages: Gent · OH Leuven · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 46' Goal: Tiago Araújo — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Gent (3-4-2-1)
OH Leuven (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Gent 65%, the draw 25%, OH Leuven 10%. It finished Gent 1–0 OH Leuven.
Gent's rating gap decides it — Gent are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Gent a clear lead. The draw at 25% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Gent at 65%?
Gent sit 227 points higher on our strength rating — 1712 to 1485. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,970 such games. Gent sit -0.65 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,410 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 65–26–9.
Why only 65%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Gent's column. Across 10,889 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,168. The goals environment adds 2.6 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Gent have gained 108 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,288 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: Gent 1 win, 1 draw, OH Leuven 4 wins. Most recently Gent 1–3 OH Leuven, 7 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5611 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Gent vs OH Leuven final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Gent and OH Leuven team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.