Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 38′Club Brugge KV, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 64′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 70′Club Brugge KV, substitution:off
- 70′Club Brugge KV, substitution:off
- 71′Cercle Brugge, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 76′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 77′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 80′Cercle Brugge, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 87′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 89′Club Brugge KV, substitution:off
- 90+3′Cercle Brugge, yellow card:L. FriisUnsportsmanlike conduct
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Assist
Player Ratings
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Match report
Tresoldi strike gives Club Brugge narrow win over Cercle Brugge
Club Brugge secured a 1-0 victory over Cercle Brugge in a Jupiler Pro League round three fixture at Jan Breydel Stadion, moving further clear at the top of the table. The only goal of the contest arrived in the 37th minute, settling what had otherwise been a one-sided but goalless opening period.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Nicolò Tresoldi was picked out by Carlos Forbs and finished to put the home side ahead just before the interval, a lead they would not relinquish. Club Brugge went into the break 1-0 up and controlled proceedings for long stretches thereafter without adding to their tally.
The hosts dominated territory and chances throughout, dwarfing their visitors in possession and shot count, while Cercle Brugge were reduced to fouling more frequently as they struggled to get a foothold. Nicolas Laforge issued a single yellow card, shown to a Cercle Brugge player, as the match passed without further incident of note.
Tresoldi scored the only goal of the match and finished with a rating of 8.2, sharing top marks with teammate Hans Vanaken, while Forbs supplied the assist for the decisive strike.
Club Brugge overwhelmed their opponents in territory, racking up 81% possession to Cercle Brugge's 19%.
Club Brugge KV beat Cercle Brugge 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Club Brugge KV met Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Sunday, 23 August 2026, 16:30 UTC at Jan Breydel Stadion. Referee: Nicolas Laforge.
Team pages: Club Brugge KV · Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 38' Goal: Nicolò Tresoldi (assist: Carlos Forbs) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Club Brugge KV (4-2-3-1)
Cercle Brugge (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Club Brugge KV 83%, the draw 12%, Cercle Brugge 5%. It finished Club Brugge KV 1–0 Cercle Brugge.
Club Brugge KV's rating gap decides it — Club Brugge KV are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Club Brugge KV's 83%. The draw at 12% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Club Brugge KV at 83%?
Club Brugge KV sit 432 points higher on our strength rating — 1925 to 1493. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.7% of 5,082 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 86–9–5.
Why not higher?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Club Brugge KV's column. Across 10,693 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 12%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 10.4%. These teams' recent games average 4.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,983. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Club Brugge KV average 7 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 432 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Club Brugge KV are unbeaten in their last 11 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,525 games vs 54.5% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Club Brugge KV and Cercle Brugge team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.