Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 24′Cercle Brugge, penalty goal:0–1Penalty
- 40′Union St. Gilloise, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 48′Cercle Brugge, own goal:0–2Own goal
- 49′Union St. Gilloise, goal:1–2assist
- 57′Cercle Brugge, yellow card:Argument
- 62′Union St. Gilloise, goal:2–2assist
- 63′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 64′Cercle Brugge, red card:Foul
- 66′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 71′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 71′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 74′Union St. Gilloise, own goal:3–2Own goal
- 76′Cercle Brugge, yellow card:Foul
- 80′Union St. Gilloise, goal:4–2assist
- 81′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 85′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 85′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 89′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 89′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 90′Union St. Gilloise, goal:5–2assist
- 90+2′Cercle Brugge, yellow card:Argument
- 90+6′Union St. Gilloise, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- Full-time5 – 2
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Union St. Gilloise
Cercle Brugge
Match report
Union St. Gilloise rally from two down to beat ten-man Cercle Brugge 5-2
Union St. Gilloise came from two goals down to beat Cercle Brugge 5-2 at Stade Joseph Marien on matchday 9 of the Jupiler Pro League. Steve Ngoura put the visitors ahead from the penalty spot in the 24th minute, and Cercle Brugge went into the interval leading 1-0.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The advantage doubled three minutes after the restart, when Massiré Sylla turned the ball into his own net in the 48th minute. Union answered within a minute, Raul Florucz scoring in the 49th from Denzel De Roeve's assist, and Sylla made amends by equalising in the 62nd with Nikki Havenaar providing the pass.
The decisive swing came when Dante Vanzeir was sent off for Cercle Brugge in the 64th minute with the score 2-2. Cercle Brugge conceded three more from that point. Emmanuel Kakou put through his own goal in the 74th minute, Relebohile Mofokeng struck in the 80th from Louis Patris's pass, and Kevin Rodríguez added a fifth in the 90th from Mofokeng's assist.
The result lifted Union St. Gilloise to third on 23 points, while Cercle Brugge stayed 18th on three. Union are now unbeaten in 12 games. Union travel to SK Beveren on Saturday 31 October in the Jupiler Pro League, and Cercle Brugge host Antwerp in the same competition on Sunday 1 November.
Massiré Sylla was the top-rated player on 8.0, scoring the equaliser in the 62nd minute after his own goal had put Cercle Brugge two ahead. Relebohile Mofokeng also made a mark with a goal and an assist, rated 7.6.
Union St. Gilloise won the corner count 13 to 1, a reflection of how much of the play they spent in Cercle Brugge's half.
Union St. Gilloise beat Cercle Brugge 5–2 (half-time 0–1).
Union St. Gilloise met Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 18:15 UTC at Stade Joseph Marien. Referee: Wesli De Cremer.
Team pages: Union St. Gilloise · Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 24' Goal (penalty): Steve Ngoura — 0–1
- 48' Goal (own goal): Massiré Sylla — 0–2
- 49' Goal: Raul Florucz (assist: Denzel De Roeve) — 1–2
- 62' Goal: Massiré Sylla (assist: Nikki Havenaar) — 2–2
- 64' Red card: Dante Vanzeir
- 74' Goal (own goal): Emmanuel Kakou — 3–2
- 80' Goal: Relebohile Mofokeng (assist: Louis Patris) — 4–2
- 90' Goal: Kevin Rodríguez (assist: Relebohile Mofokeng) — 5–2
Starting line-ups
Union St. Gilloise (3-1-4-2)
Cercle Brugge (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Union St. Gilloise 87%, the draw 8%, Cercle Brugge 5%. It finished Union St. Gilloise 5–2 Cercle Brugge.
Big strength gap puts Union St. Gilloise in front — We give Union St. Gilloise 87% mainly because they sit 367 points higher on our strength rating, 1819 to 1452, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw starts near 9%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and dips to 8% because both sides' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Union St. Gilloise at 87%?
Union St. Gilloise sit 367 points higher on our strength rating — 1819 to 1452. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.6% of 5,959 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 89–7–4.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 87% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 8% and Cercle Brugge at 5%.
Why is the draw only 8%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 8.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,416.
What did we measure but not count?
Union St. Gilloise have averaged 8 percentage points more possession than Cercle Brugge in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last 31 home Jupiler Pro League games: 26 wins and 5 draws. The run began on 1 March 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 16 February 2025 — Union St. Gilloise 0–1 KV Mechelen. Latest home league result: 11 October 2026 — Union St. Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven. Across 16,107 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Union St. Gilloise 5–2 Cercle Brugge. Explore more on the Union St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.