RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 5′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:Foul
- 37′RAAL La Louvière, goal:1–0assist
- 44′RAAL La Louvière, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:Foul
- 59′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 62′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 66′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 72′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 73′RAAL La Louvière, goal:2–0assist
- 77′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 77′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 77′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 83′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 83′Zulte Waregem, yellow card:Foul
- 84′RAAL La Louvière, goal:3–0
- 90+1′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
RAAL La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
Match report
Gillot double lifts RAAL La Louvière to 3-0 win over Zulte Waregem
RAAL La Louvière beat Zulte Waregem 3-0 at Easi Arena in the Jupiler Pro League on Matchday 9, a result that lifted them from 16th to 14th in the table. They had gone into the game on four points from eight matches, while Zulte Waregem began it ninth with 11.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The match was goalless until the 37th minute, when Nolan Gillot finished from a Zsombor Gruber assist to put the hosts 1-0 ahead at the break. Zulte Waregem, who had the greater share of the ball, found no way back before the interval or after it.
Gillot struck again in the 73rd minute, this time set up by Marius Courcoul, to make it 2-0. Léandro Rousseau completed the scoring in the 84th minute. Zulte Waregem had played Seraing United in their previous game, a 3-0 home win, but could not repeat that attacking form here.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given RAAL La Louvière a 30% chance of winning. Zulte Waregem next host Club Brugge KV in the Jupiler Pro League on Friday, while RAAL La Louvière travel to Charleroi in the same competition on Sunday.
Nolan Gillot scored twice, in the 37th and 73rd minutes, and was the highest-rated player on the pitch with 9.3.
Zulte Waregem had 55% of the possession, yet RAAL La Louvière put eight of their 14 shots on target.
RAAL La Louvière beat Zulte Waregem 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
RAAL La Louvière met Zulte Waregem in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Easi Arena. Referee: Massimiliano Ledda.
Team pages: RAAL La Louvière · Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 37' Goal: Nolan Gillot (assist: Zsombor Gruber) — 1–0
- 73' Goal: Nolan Gillot (assist: Marius Courcoul) — 2–0
- 84' Goal: Léandro Rousseau — 3–0
Starting line-ups
RAAL La Louvière (5-3-2)
Zulte Waregem (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave RAAL La Louvière 30%, the draw 28%, Zulte Waregem 42%. It finished RAAL La Louvière 3–0 Zulte Waregem.
Zulte Waregem's stronger rating gives them the edge — We give Zulte Waregem 42% mainly because our strength rating puts them 107 points higher, 1517 to 1410, and their habit of holding more of the ball in recent games adds a little more. The draw sits at 28%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, with only small nudges either way.
Why Zulte Waregem at 42%?
Zulte Waregem sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1517 to 1410. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,788 such games. Zulte Waregem hold 6 more possession points (45 to 39 in recent games) across a 107-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,292 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. The 300 most similar past games finished 36–27–37.
Why only 42%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 42% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and RAAL La Louvière at 30%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,159.
What did we measure but not count?
RAAL La Louvière come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals, 13 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Zulte Waregem won 2 of the last 4 meetings with RAAL La Louvière. The record is 2 wins for Zulte Waregem, 2 draws and 0 wins for RAAL La Louvière. These were 4 Jupiler Pro League games played between 4 October 2025 and 26 April 2026. Latest meeting: 26 April 2026 — Zulte Waregem 4–0 RAAL La Louvière. In 6,072 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.