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Hammarby FF vs 23.07.26 17:001 – 1Full Time
Anderlecht — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Hammarby FF and Anderlecht drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Hammarby FF met Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC at 3Arena. Referee: Donald Robertson.
Team pages: Hammarby FF · Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hammarby FF 35%, the draw 25%, Anderlecht 40%. It finished Hammarby FF 1–1 Anderlecht.
Anderlecht's rating edge outweighs Hammarby FF's home ground — Anderlecht are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Anderlecht's 40%. The draw at 25% is trimmed by a league that produces few draws.
Anderlecht sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1559 to 1666. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,924 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 36–29–35.
UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (22.8% vs 24.9% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.5% of 4,370 games vs 44.9% across all 98,257 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,589. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.1 points off.
Anderlecht scored +0.36 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,703 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.2% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Hammarby FF have 14 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Hammarby FF 1–1 Anderlecht. Explore more on the Hammarby FF and Anderlecht team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.
Hammarby FF and Anderlecht drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Danylo Sikan (6') for Anderlecht; Frank Adjei (89') for Hammarby FF.
Goal highlights and video clips from Hammarby FF 1–1 Anderlecht are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Hammarby FF and Anderlecht have met 1 time — 0 wins for Hammarby FF, 1 win for Anderlecht and 0 draws.